Energy sector vulnerability to climate change: A review

被引:360
作者
Schaeffer, Roberto [1 ]
Szklo, Alexandre Salem [1 ]
Pereira de Lucena, Andre Frossard [1 ]
Moreira Cesar Borba, Bruno Soares [1 ]
Pupo Nogueira, Larissa Pinheiro [1 ]
Fleming, Fernanda Pereira [1 ]
Troccoli, Alberto
Harrison, Mike
Boulahya, Mohammed Sadeck
机构
[1] Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Grad Sch Engn, Energy Planning Program, BR-21945970 Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
关键词
Climate change impacts and risks; Energy system; Vulnerability; WIND POWER RESOURCES; WATER-RESOURCES; CHANGE IMPACTS; ELECTRICITY DEMAND; NORTHERN EUROPE; METHODOLOGY; OIL; TEMPERATURE; RESPONSES; US;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2011.11.056
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
Energy systems can be vulnerable to climate change. This paper summarizes the contribution of their authors to a few strategic studies, research workshops, development forum and international conferences related to Climate and Energy. It presents a review of the impacts that climate change may have throughout the energy chain and identifies current knowledge gaps and areas for future research development. One of the greatest challenges is how to assess impacts which may occur as a consequence of the projected increase in the intensity of extreme weather events: the majority of current methodologies rely on past experience but this may not be a sufficiently good guide for planning and operational activities in the coming decades. Also, climate impact assessments on energy planning and operation need to take into account a greater number of scenarios, as well as investigate impacts on particular energy segments. Therefore, we identify energy segments for which little climate impact research has been conducted. Finally, because climate impact assessment for energy systems is a relatively new research field, it is expected that methodological developments will increase in the near future with a consequent broadening of the knowledge base on the subject. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 12
页数:12
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