Over half of known human pathogenic diseases can be aggravated by climate change

被引:404
作者
Mora, Camilo [1 ]
McKenzie, Tristan [2 ,3 ]
Gaw, Isabella M. [4 ]
Dean, Jacqueline M. [1 ]
von Hammerstein, Hannah [1 ]
Knudson, Tabatha A. [1 ]
Setter, Renee O. [1 ]
Smith, Charlotte Z. [5 ]
Webster, Kira M. [1 ]
Patz, Jonathan A. [6 ,7 ]
Franklin, Erik C. [1 ,8 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Geog & Environm, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[2] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Earth Sci, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci & Technol, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[3] Univ Gothenburg, Dept Marine Sci, Gothenburg, Sweden
[4] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Sch Life Sci, Marine Biol Grad Program, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[5] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Nat Resources & Environm Management, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[6] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Nelson Inst, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[7] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Populat Hlth Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[8] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Hawaii Inst Marine Biol, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci & Technol, Kaneohe, HI USA
关键词
LAND-USE CHANGE; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; HEALTH IMPACTS; VECTOR-BORNE; DROUGHT; FLOODS; TRANSMISSION; PROJECTIONS; PREVALENCE; CHALLENGES;
D O I
10.1038/s41558-022-01426-1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
It is relatively well accepted that climate change can affect human pathogenic diseases; however, the full extent of this risk remains poorly quantified. Here we carried out a systematic search for empirical examples about the impacts of ten climatic hazards sensitive to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on each known human pathogenic disease. We found that 58% (that is, 218 out of 375) of infectious diseases confronted by humanity worldwide have been at some point aggravated by climatic hazards; 16% were at times diminished. Empirical cases revealed 1,006 unique pathways in which climatic hazards, via different transmission types, led to pathogenic diseases. The human pathogenic diseases and transmission pathways aggravated by climatic hazards are too numerous for comprehensive societal adaptations, highlighting the urgent need to work at the source of the problem: reducing GHG emissions.
引用
收藏
页码:869 / +
页数:9
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