Default priors for Bayesian and frequentist inference

被引:35
作者
Fraser, D. A. S.
Reid, N. [1 ]
Marras, E. [2 ]
Yi, G. Y. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Toronto, Dept Stat, Toronto, ON M5S 3G3, Canada
[2] Ctr Adv Studies Res & Dev Sardinia, Pula, Italy
[3] Univ Waterloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Invariant prior; Jeffreys prior; Likelihood asymptotics; Marginalization paradox; Non-informative prior; Nuisance parameter; Objective prior; Subjective prior; ACCURATE APPROXIMATIONS; PRIOR DISTRIBUTIONS; TAIL PROBABILITIES; CONFIDENCE POINTS; LIKELIHOOD; PARAMETERS; MODELS; ASYMPTOTICS; EXAMPLE; RULES;
D O I
10.1111/j.1467-9868.2010.00750.x
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We investigate the choice of default priors for use with likelihood for Bayesian and frequentist inference. Such a prior is a density or relative density that weights an observed likelihood function, leading to the elimination of parameters that are not of interest and then a density-type assessment for a parameter of interest. For independent responses from a continuous model, we develop a prior for the full parameter that is closely linked to the original Bayes approach and provides an extension of the right invariant measure to general contexts. We then develop a modified prior that is targeted on a component parameter of interest and by targeting avoids the marginalization paradoxes of Dawid and co-workers. This modifies Jeffreys's prior and provides extensions to the development of Welch and Peers. These two approaches are combined to explore priors for a vector parameter of interest in the presence of a vector nuisance parameter. Examples are given to illustrate the computation of the priors.
引用
收藏
页码:631 / 654
页数:24
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