Northeastern North America as a potential refugium for boreal forests in a warming climate

被引:141
作者
D'Orangeville, L. [1 ,2 ]
Duchesne, L. [3 ]
Houle, D. [3 ,4 ]
Kneeshaw, D. [1 ]
Cote, B. [5 ]
Pederson, N. [6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Quebec, Ctr Etude Foret, Case Postale 8888,Succursale Ctr Ville, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P8, Canada
[2] Indiana Univ, Dept Biol, 1001 East 3rd St,Jordan Hall 142, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA
[3] Minist Forets Faune & Parcs Quebec, Direct Rech Forestiere, 2700 Einstein, Quebec City, PQ G1P 3W8, Canada
[4] Consortium Climatol Reg & Adaptat Changements Cli, 550 Sherbrooke W, Montreal, PQ H3A 1B9, Canada
[5] McGill Univ, Dept Nat Resource Sci, 21 111 Lakeshore Rd, Ste Anne De Bellevue, PQ H9X 3V9, Canada
[6] Harvard Forest, 324 North Main St, Petersham, MA 01366 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
BLACK SPRUCE FORESTS; NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION; EASTERN CANADA; DROUGHT STRESS; TREE GROWTH; CARBON; IMPACTS; PRODUCTIVITY; TEMPERATURES; 20TH-CENTURY;
D O I
10.1126/science.aaf4951
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
High precipitation in boreal northeastern North America could help forests withstand the expected temperature-driven increase in evaporative demand, but definitive evidence is lacking. Using a network of tree-ring collections from 16,450 stands across 583,000 km(2) of boreal forests in Quebec, Canada, we observe a latitudinal shift in the correlation of black spruce growth with temperature and reduced precipitation, from negative south of 49 degrees N to largely positive to the north of that latitude. Our results su: zest that the positive effect of a warmer climate on growth rates and growing season length north of 49 degrees N outweighs the potential negative effect of lower water availability. Unlike the central and western portions of the continent's boreal forest, northeastern North America may act as a climatic refugium in a warmer climate.
引用
收藏
页码:1452 / 1455
页数:4
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