Objective Priors: An Introduction for Frequentists

被引:68
作者
Ghosh, Malay [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
关键词
Asymptotic expansion; divergence criterion; first-order probability matching; Jeffreys' prior; left Haar priors; location family; location-scale family; multiparameter; orthogonality; reference priors; right Haar priors; scale family; second-order probability matching; shrinkage argument; NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS; BAYESIAN-INFERENCE; DISTRIBUTIONS; VALIDITY; ASYMPTOTICS; RATIO;
D O I
10.1214/10-STS338
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Bayesian methods are increasingly applied in these days in the theory and practice of statistics. Any Bayesian inference depends on a likelihood and a prior. Ideally one would like to elicit a prior from related sources of information or past data. However, in its absence, Bayesian methods need to rely on some "objective" or "default" priors, and the resulting posterior inference can still be quite valuable. Not surprisingly, over the years, the catalog of objective priors also has become prohibitively large, and one has to set some specific criteria for the selection of such priors. Our aim is to review some of these criteria, compare their performance, and illustrate them with some simple examples. While for very large sample sizes, it does not possibly matter what objective prior one uses, the selection of such a prior does influence inference for small or moderate samples. For regular models where asymptotic normality holds, Jeffreys' general rule prior, the positive square root of the determinant of the Fisher information matrix, enjoys many optimality properties in the absence of nuisance parameters. In the presence of nuisance parameters, however, there are many other priors which emerge as optimal depending on the criterion selected. One new feature in this article is that a prior different from Jeffreys' is shown to be optimal under the chi-square divergence criterion even in the absence of nuisance parameters. The latter is also invariant under one-to-one reparameterization.
引用
收藏
页码:187 / 202
页数:16
相关论文
共 64 条
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1943, Bull Calcutta Math Soc, DOI DOI 10.1038/157869B0
[3]  
Bayes T., 1763, AMFR S. Philos Trans R Soc Lond, V53, P370
[4]  
Berger J.O., 1992, BAYESIAN ANAL STAT E, P323
[5]  
Berger J.O., 1985, Statistical decision theory and Bayesian analysis, V2nd
[6]   THE FORMAL DEFINITION OF REFERENCE PRIORS [J].
Berger, James O. ;
Bernardo, Jose M. ;
Sun, Dongchu .
ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 2009, 37 (02) :905-938
[7]   Objective Bayesian analysis of spatially correlated data [J].
Berger, JO ;
De Oliveira, V ;
Sansó, B .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 2001, 96 (456) :1361-1374
[8]   ESTIMATING A PRODUCT OF MEANS - BAYESIAN-ANALYSIS WITH REFERENCE PRIORS [J].
BERGER, JO ;
BERNARDO, JM .
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION, 1989, 84 (405) :200-207
[9]   NONINFORMATIVE PRIORS AND BAYESIAN TESTING FOR THE AR(1) MODEL [J].
BERGER, JO ;
YANG, RY .
ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 1994, 10 (3-4) :461-482
[10]  
BERNARDO JM, 1979, J R STAT SOC B, V41, P113