Characteristics of tropical cyclones in high-resolution models in the present climate

被引:114
作者
Shaevitz, Daniel A. [1 ]
Camargo, Suzana J. [2 ]
Sobel, Adam H. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Jonas, Jeffrey A. [4 ,5 ]
Kim, Daehyun [2 ]
Kumar, Arun [6 ]
LaRow, Timothy E. [7 ]
Lim, Young-Kwon [8 ,9 ]
Murakami, Hiroyuki [10 ]
Reed, Kevin A. [11 ]
Roberts, Malcolm J. [12 ]
Scoccimarro, Enrico [13 ,14 ]
Vidale, Pier Luigi [15 ]
Wang, Hui [6 ]
Wehner, Michael F. [16 ]
Zhao, Ming [17 ]
Henderson, Naomi [2 ]
机构
[1] Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA
[2] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USA
[3] Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA
[4] Columbia Univ, Ctr Climate Syst Res, New York, NY USA
[5] NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA
[6] NOAA NWS NCEP, Climate Predict Ctr, College Pk, MD USA
[7] Florida State Univ, Ctr Ocean Atmospher Predict Studies, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA
[8] NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
[9] IM Syst Grp, Goddard Earth Sci Technol & Res, Greenbelt, MD USA
[10] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[11] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
[12] Met Off, Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England
[13] Ist Nazl Geofis & Vulcanol, Bologna, Italy
[14] Ctr Euromediterraneosui Cambiamenti Climatici, Bologna, Italy
[15] Univ Reading, NCAS Climate, Reading, Berks, England
[16] Lawrence Livermore Natl Lab, Berkeley, CA USA
[17] NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC; INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; HURRICANE INTENSITY; DECADAL VARIATIONS; GENESIS LOCATION; STORM FORMATION; EL-NINO; FREQUENCY; ENSO;
D O I
10.1002/2014MS000372
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The global characteristics of tropical cyclones (TCs) simulated by several climate models are analyzed and compared with observations. The global climate models were forced by the same sea surface temperature (SST) fields in two types of experiments, using climatological SST and interannually varying SST. TC tracks and intensities are derived from each model's output fields by the group who ran that model, using their own preferred tracking scheme; the study considers the combination of model and tracking scheme as a single modeling system, and compares the properties derived from the different systems. Overall, the observed geographic distribution of global TC frequency was reasonably well reproduced. As expected, with the exception of one model, intensities of the simulated TC were lower than in observations, to a degree that varies considerably across models.
引用
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页码:1154 / 1172
页数:19
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