Consequences of COVID-19 on Banking Sector Index: Artificial Neural Network Model

被引:12
作者
Assous, Hamzeh F. [1 ]
Al-Najjar, Dania [1 ]
机构
[1] King Faisal Univ, Sch Business, Dept Finance, Alahsa 31982, Saudi Arabia
来源
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STUDIES | 2021年 / 9卷 / 04期
关键词
Saudi banking sector; COVID-19; ANN; decrease in interest rates; lockdown; regulations; confirmed cases; death cases; MARKETS;
D O I
10.3390/ijfs9040067
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
The World Health Organization officially declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on 11 March 2020. In this study, we examine the effect of COVID-19 indicators and policy response on the Saudi banking index. COVID-19 variables that were applied are: new confirmed and fatal COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia; lockdowns; first and second decreases in interest rates; regulations, and oil prices. We implemented the analysis by running a stepwise regression analysis then building an artificial neural network (ANN) model. According to regression findings, oil prices and new confirmed cases have had a significant positive effect on the Saudi banking index. Nevertheless, the lockdown announcements in Saudi Arabia and the first decrease in interest rates had a significant negative effect on the Saudi banking index. To enhance the performance of the linear regression model, the ANN model was built. Findings showed that the ranking of the variables in terms of their importance is: oil price, number of confirmed cases, lockdown announcements, decrease in interest rates, and lastly, regulations.
引用
收藏
页数:16
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