Analysis of the spatial variation of Bovine tuberculosis disease risk in Spain (2006-2009)

被引：37

作者：

Allepuz, A. ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

Casal, J. ^{[1
,2
]}

Napp, S. ^{[1
,3
]}

Saez, M. ^{[4
,5
]}

Alba, A. ^{[1
]}

Vilar, M. ^{[1
]}

Domingo, M. ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

Gonzalez, M. A. ^{[3
,6
]}

Duran-Ferrer, M. ^{[3
,7
]}

Vicente, J. ^{[3
,8
]}

Alvarez, J. ^{[3
,9
]}

Munoz, M. ^{[3
,10
]}

Saez, J. L. ^{[3
,11
]}

机构：

[1] UAB IRTA, CReSA, Barcelona 08193, Spain

[2] Univ Autonoma Barcelona, Dept Sanitat & Anat Anim, E-08193 Barcelona, Spain

[3] Minist Medio Ambiente & Media Rural & Marino, Direcc Gen Recursos Agr & Ganaderos, Grp Trabajo Epidemiol, Madrid 28071, Spain

[4] Univ Girona, Res Grp Stat Appl Econ & Hlth GRECS, Girona 17071, Spain

[5] CIBER Epidemiol & Publ Hlth CIBERESP, Barcelona, Spain

[6] Consejeria Agr & Pesca Junta de Andalucia, Lab Sanidad & Prod Anim, Seville 41071, Spain

[7] Spanish Minist Environm & Rural & Marine Affairs, Lab Nacl Referencia TB Anim, Lab Cent Sanidad Anim, Santafe Granada 18320, Spain

[8] IREC CSIC UCLM JCCM, Ciudad Real 13005, Spain

[9] Univ Complutense Madrid, Ctr Vigilancia Sanitaria Vet VISAVET, E-28040 Madrid, Spain

[10] Conselleria Medio Rural Xunta de Galicia, Serv Sanidad Anim, Santiago de Compostela, Coruna, Spain

[11] Minist Media Ambiente & Media Rural & Marino, Direcc Gen Recursos Agr & Ganaderos, Subdirecc Gen Sanidad Prod Primaria, Madrid 28071, Spain

来源：

PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE | 2011年 / 100卷 / 01期

关键词：

Bovine tuberculosis; Disease mapping; Bayesian hierarchical models; Spatial epidemiology; MYCOBACTERIUM-BOVIS; MOLECULAR EVOLUTION; CATTLE FARMS; WILD BOAR; 4; AREAS; EPIDEMIOLOGY; MODELS; PATTERNS; ANIMALS; STRAINS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.02.012

中图分类号：

S85 [动物医学（兽医学）];

学科分类号：

0906 ;

摘要：

In this study we explored the spatial variation of Bovine tuberculosis (BTB) risk of being positive, new positive or persistently positive, as well as the risk of eliminating BTB in positive herds throughout Spain from 2006 to 2009 by means of hierarchical Bayesian models. The results of the models showed that the risk of infection (positive or new positive herds), persistence and elimination was lower in counties located in north and north-eastern of Spain, and in the Balearic and Canary islands than in the rest of the country. In some counties the risk of positivity was high during the four years of study, whereas there were others where the risk of positivity was high only in some of the years. With regard to the risk of persistence of BIB positive herds, counties located in the central, western and southwestern part of the country had a higher risk in the three studied periods. This study has identified some specific areas of increased BTB risk in Spain, information that is useful for disease management. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：44 / 52

页数：9

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