Recent Progress and Emerging Topics on Weather and Climate Extremes Since the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

被引：47
|
作者：
Chen, Yang [1 ]
Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran [2 ]
Masson-Delmotte, Valerie [3 ]
Zhai, Panmao [1 ]
Pirani, Anna [2 ]
机构：
[1] Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, State Key Lab Severe Weather, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Paris Saclay, Tech Support Unit, IPCC Working Grp 1, F-91190 Paris, France
[3] Univ Paris Saclay, LSCE, CEA, CNRS,UVSQ,IPSL, F-91190 Paris, France
来源：
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCES, VOL 43 | 2018年 / 43卷
基金：
国家重点研发计划;
关键词：
weather and climate extremes; detection and attribution; projection; scientific gaps and progress; emerging topics; ASSESS AVOIDED IMPACTS; 2; DEGREES-C; PROJECTED CHANGES; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; PRECIPITATION EXTREMES; CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION; HOURLY PRECIPITATION; ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION; HEAVY-PRECIPITATION; NORTH PACIFIC;
D O I：
10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-030052
中图分类号：
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号：
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要：
Weather and climate extremes impose serious impacts on natural and human systems. In its fifth assessment report (AR5) and a special report [Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX)], the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change provided a thorough assessment of observed and projected changes in extremes in a warming climate, with evidenced scientific gaps in the understanding of these responsive changes being reported. Reviewing post- AR5 literature, this article synthesizes recent advances regarding these previous gaps with respect to detection, attribution, and projection of extremes. We focus on constraints for the assessment confidence, overlooked types and characteristics of extremes, and changes in their thermodynamic-dynamic drivers. We also stress potential misinterpretations of existing results, propose an update of earlier key findings, and identify burgeoning topics.
引用
收藏
页码：35 / 59
页数：25
相关论文
共 50 条
12345