Agent-based simulation of a financial market

被引:157
作者
Raberto, M
Cincotti, S
Focardi, SM
Marchesi, M
机构
[1] Univ Genoa, Dipartimento Ingn Biofis & Elettr, I-16145 Genoa, Italy
[2] Intertek Grp, F-75015 Paris, France
[3] Univ Cagliari, Dept Ingn Elettr & Elettr, I-09123 Cagliari, Italy
来源
PHYSICA A | 2001年 / 299卷 / 1-2期
关键词
artificial financial markets; heterogeneous agents; financial time series; econophysics;
D O I
10.1016/S0378-4371(01)00312-0
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
This paper introduces an agent-based artificial financial market in which heterogeneous agents trade one single asset through a realistic trading mechanism for price formation. Agents are initially endowed with a finite amount of cash and a given finite portfolio of assets. There is no money-creation process; the total available cash is conserved in time. In each period, agents make random buy and sell decisions that are constrained by available resources, subject to clustering, and dependent on the volatility of previous periods. The model proposed herein is able to reproduce the leptokurtic shape of the probability density of log price returns and the clustering of volatility. Implemented using extreme programming and object-oriented technology, the simulator is a flexible computational experimental facility that can find applications in both academic and industrial research projects. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:319 / 327
页数:9
相关论文
共 19 条
[1]   Price variations in a stock market with many agents [J].
Bak, P ;
Paczuski, M ;
Shubik, M .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 1997, 246 (3-4) :430-453
[2]  
Beck K., 1999, EXTREME PROGRAMMING
[3]  
Bouchand J.-P., 2001, Quantitative Finance, V1, P105, DOI 10.1088/1469-7688/1/1/307
[4]  
Bouchaud J.-P., 2000, THEORY FINANCIAL RIS
[5]   A prototype model of stock exchange [J].
Caldarelli, G ;
Marsili, M ;
Zhang, YC .
EUROPHYSICS LETTERS, 1997, 40 (05) :479-484
[6]   A generalized spin model of financial markets [J].
Chowdhury, D ;
Stauffer, D .
EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B, 1999, 8 (03) :477-482
[7]  
Cont R, 2000, MACROECON DYN, V4, P170
[8]  
Friedman M., 1953, Essay in positive economics
[9]   Avalanche dynamics and trading friction effects on stock market returns [J].
Iori, G .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MODERN PHYSICS C, 1999, 10 (06) :1149-1162
[10]   Time series properties of an artificial stock market [J].
LeBaron, B ;
Arthur, WB ;
Palmer, R .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS & CONTROL, 1999, 23 (9-10) :1487-1516