Long-range correlations and asymmetry in the Bitcoin market

被引:130
作者
Alvarez-Ramirez, J. [1 ]
Rodriguez, E. [1 ]
Ibarra-Valdez, C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Autonoma Metropolitana Iztapalapa, Div Ciencias Basicas & Ingn, Apartado Postal 55-534, Mexico City 09340, DF, Mexico
关键词
Bitcoin market; Informational efficiency; DFA; Asymmetry; HURST EXPONENT; INEFFICIENCY;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.025
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
This work studies long-range correlations and informational efficiency of the Bitcoin market for the period from June 30, 2013 to June 3rd, 2017. To this end, the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) was implemented over sliding windows to estimate long-range correlations for price returns. It was found that the Bitcoin market exhibits periods of efficiency alternating with periods where the price dynamics are driven by anti-persistence. The pattern is replicated by prices samples at day, hour and second frequencies. The Bitcoin market also presents asymmetric correlations with respect to increasing and decreasing price trending, with the former trend linked to anti-persistence of returns dynamics. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:948 / 955
页数:8
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]   Time-varying Hurst exponent for US stock markets [J].
Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose ;
Alvarez, Jesus ;
Rodriguez, Eduardo ;
Fernandez-Anaya, Guillermo .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2008, 387 (24) :6159-6169
[2]   A DFA approach for assessing asymmetric correlations [J].
Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose ;
Rodriguez, Eduardo ;
Echeverria, Juan Carlos .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2009, 388 (12) :2263-2270
[3]  
[Anonymous], ARXIV170408175
[4]  
[Anonymous], APPL EC LETT
[5]   Some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market [J].
Bariviera, Aurelio F. ;
Basgall, Maria Jose ;
Hasperue, Waldo ;
Naiouf, Marcelo .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2017, 484 :82-90
[6]   DOES BITCOIN FOLLOW THE HYPOTHESIS OF EFFICIENT MARKET? [J].
Bartos, Jakub .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC SCIENCES, 2015, 4 (02) :10-23
[7]   Time-dependent Hurst exponent in financial time series [J].
Carbone, A ;
Castelli, G ;
Stanley, HE .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2004, 344 (1-2) :267-271
[8]   Speculative bubbles in Bitcoin markets? An empirical investigation into the fundamental value of Bitcoin [J].
Cheah, Eng-Tuck ;
Fry, John .
ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2015, 130 :32-36
[9]   Randomness confidence bands of fractal scaling exponents for financial price returns [J].
Ibarra-Valdez, C. ;
Alvarez, J. ;
Alvarez-Ramirez, J. .
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2016, 83 :119-124
[10]  
Kurihara Y., 2017, Journal of Applied Finance, P57