Use of Real-Time Traffic and Signal Timing Data in Modeling Occupant Injury Severity at Signalized Intersections

被引:5
作者
Kidando, Emmanuel [1 ]
Kitali, Angela E. [2 ]
Kutela, Boniphace [3 ]
Karaer, Alican [4 ]
Ghorbanzadeh, Mahyar [4 ]
Koloushani, Mohammadreza [4 ]
Ozguven, Eren E. [4 ]
机构
[1] Cleveland State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Cleveland, OH 44115 USA
[2] Florida Int Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Miami, FL 33199 USA
[3] Texas A&M Transportat Inst, Bryan, TX USA
[4] FAMU & FSU Coll Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Tallahassee, FL USA
关键词
Bayesian methods; crash analysis; crash severity; safety; safety performance and analysis; VEHICLE CRASHES; DRIVER INJURY; SAFETY; REGRESSION; ACCIDENTS; IMPACT; LEVEL; FLOW;
D O I
10.1177/03611981211047836
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
This study explored the use of real-time traffic events and signal timing data to determine the factors influencing the injury severity of vehicle occupants at intersections. The analysis was based on 3 years (2017-2019) of crash and high-resolution traffic data. The best fit regression was first identified by comparing the conventional regression model and logistic models with random effect. The logistic model with a heavy-tailed distribution random effect best fitted the data set, and it was used in the variable assessment. The model results revealed that about 13.6% of the unobserved heterogeneity comes from site-specific variations, which underlines the need to use the logistic model with a random effect. Among the real-time traffic events and signal-based variables, approach delay and platoon ratio significantly influenced the injury severity of vehicle occupants at 90% Bayesian credible interval. Additionally, the manner of a collision, occupant seat position, number of vehicles involved in a crash, gender, age, lighting condition, and day of the week significantly affected the vehicle occupant injury. The study findings are anticipated to provide valuable insights to transportation agencies for developing countermeasures to mitigate the crash severity risk proactively.
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页码:825 / 839
页数:15
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