Based on the design relation value of the variation dispersion coefficient beta at the notch tip in concrete specimens at the peak load P-max, a Weibull distribution method was employed to analyze the experimental data for different loading methods (3 PB, 4 PB, WS). The dispersion coefficient beta, which complies with the Weibull distribution for notched specimens, leads to a Weibull distribution of the tensile strength f(t) and fracture toughness K-IC. Furthermore, when the characteristic crack of concrete is alpha(ch)* = 1.0d(max) (or 1.5d(max)), the coefficient of variation for the Weibull distribution is the smallest in most cases. By adopting the simple relation alpha(ch)* = 1.0d(max) (or 1.5d(max)) and the fictitious crack growth, Delta alpha(f) = beta d(max), the fracture properties of concrete specimens with W/d(max) = 4-50 under different loading conditions (3 PB, 4 PB, WS) were investigated. Because of the scatter in the peak load P-max of the notched specimens and the variation in the fictitious crack growth Delta alpha(fici), a new statistical approach using the solution of the boundary effect model (BEM) was employed. The curves between the peak load P-max and specimen height W were predicted. The critical values of the peak load P-max and specimen height W were obtained, in which the notched specimen failure was controlled by the fracture toughness K-IC.