A critical review on deployment planning and risk analysis of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) toward carbon neutrality

被引:381
作者
Chen, Siyuan [1 ]
Liu, Jiangfeng [2 ,3 ]
Zhang, Qi [2 ,3 ]
Teng, Fei [2 ,3 ,4 ]
McLellan, Benjamin C. [5 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Management & Econ, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
[2] China Univ Petr, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102249, Peoples R China
[3] China Univ Petr, Acad Chinese Energy Strategy, Beijing 102249, Peoples R China
[4] Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Sci Lib, Beijing, Peoples R China
[5] Kyoto Univ, Grad Sch Energy Sci, Kyoto, Japan
关键词
CCUS; Carbonneutrality; Deploymentpathways; Planninglayout; Riskanalysis; CCS INVESTMENT EVALUATION; CO2 GEOLOGICAL STORAGE; 2; DEGREES-C; DIOXIDE CAPTURE; PINCH ANALYSIS; POWER-PLANTS; ECONOMIC-PROSPECTS; CHINA; OPTIMIZATION; PROJECT;
D O I
10.1016/j.rser.2022.112537
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
With the proposal to achieve carbon neutrality by the mid-21st century, carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) as a critical negative carbon technology is receiving extensive attention and concerns around the world. Under this context, the development of CCUS and relevant literature both have been experiencing an upsurge. However, the actual scale of CCUS is still far behind our expectations, especially, the various risks and un-certainties associated with its deployment planning have not yet been addressed clearly. Therefore, this paper provides an overview of model-based CCUS deployment pathways toward carbon neutrality, as well as the associated risks of financial, technical, environmental, health and safety (EHS) aspects. On this basis, we scru-tinize the potential challenges that could lead to the pace of CCUS deployment inconsistent with the need to achieve a carbon-neutral target. The results suggest that the "Golden Age" of CCUS deployment lies from 2040 to 2060 in the world, while 2030-2050 for China. Furthermore, we found that inadequate exploration in geologic storage capacity also creates a critical conundrum for CCUS deployment and optimization, apart from typical challenges including high failure rate of projects, the lack of financial support and market stimulus, as well as incomplete regulation framework and risk-sharing mechanism. Lastly, this paper points out the further potential research direction, followed by policy implications and recommendations.
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页数:17
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