Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high income countries

被引：91

作者：

Aassve, Arnstein ^{[1
,2
]}

Cavalli, Nicolo ^{[2
,3
]}

Mencarini, Letizia ^{[1
,4
]}

Plach, Samuel ^{[1
]}

Sanders, Seth ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Carlo F Dondena Ctr Res Social Dynam & Publ Polic, I-20136 Milan, Italy

[2] Univ Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Dept Social & Polit Sci, I-20136 Milan, Italy

[3] Univ Oxford, Nuffield Coll, Oxford OX1 1NF, England

[4] Univ Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Dept Management & Technol, I-20136 Milan, Italy

[5] Cornell Univ, Dept Econ, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA | 2021年 / 118卷 / 36期

基金：

欧洲研究理事会;

关键词：

COVID-19; fertility; pandemics; birth rates; baby bust;

D O I：

10.1073/pnas.2105709118

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (-9.1%), Spain (-8.4%), and Portugal (-6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.

引用

页数：3

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