The economic impact of weather anomalies

被引:34
作者
Felbermayr, Gabriel [1 ,2 ]
Groeschl, Jasmin [3 ]
Sanders, Mark [4 ,5 ]
Schippers, Vincent [4 ]
Steinwachs, Thomas [6 ]
机构
[1] Ifo Inst, GEP & CESifo, Munich, Germany
[2] Osterreich Inst Wirtschaftsforsch, Vienna, Austria
[3] Ifo Inst, LMU & CESifo, Munich, Germany
[4] Univ Utrecht, Sch Econ, Utrecht, Netherlands
[5] Maastricht Univ, Sch Business & Econ, Maastricht, Netherlands
[6] VDMA, Frankfurt, Germany
关键词
Climate change; Weather anomalies; Economic impact; Local impact; Night lights; Spatial spillovers; NATURAL DISASTERS; DEVELOPMENT SPILLOVERS; NIGHTTIME LIGHTS; GROWTH; SHOCKS; INSTITUTIONS; INNOVATION; GEOGRAPHY; VARIETY; MODELS;
D O I
10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105745
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
How do weather anomalies affect the economy at the local level? This paper presents a new data set that links weather data to annual average night-light emission data for 24.000 0.5 degrees x 0.5 degrees grid-cells around the globe for the period 1992-2013. Interpreting night-light emission as a proxy for economic activity, these data allow one to investigate how weather anomalies affect economic activity. Global coverage avoids selection bias, while high spatial resolution avoids averaging out heterogeneity in local impacts at higher aggregation levels. Our data show significant effects on the local growth of night-light for storms, exces-sive precipitation, droughts, and cold spells. Moreover, we find evidence for significant spatial spillovers to neighboring areas. Our results suggest that these offsetting spillovers are typically local. As positive and negative effects average out in larger areas, our results call for the analysis of economic effects of weather anomalies at a high geographical resolution. Finally, our results are driven by events in lower income regions. As climate change is expected to make weather patterns more erratic, our new data can inform emerging debates on how this will affect the economy in both science and politics.(c) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
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页数:26
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