A scheme based on ICD-10 diagnoses and drug prescriptions to stage chronic kidney disease severity in healthcare administrative records

Background: Information about renal function is important for drug safety studies using administrative health databases. However, serum creatinine values are seldom available in these registries. Our aim was to develop and test a simple scheme for stratification of renal function without access to laboratory test results. Methods: Our scheme uses registry data about diagnoses, contacts, dialysis and drug use. We validated the scheme in the Stockholm CREAtinine Measurements (SCREAM) project using information on approximately 1.1 million individuals residing in the Stockholm County who underwent calibrated creatinine testing during 2006-11, linked with data about health care contacts and filled drug prescriptions. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated with the CKD-EPI formula and used as the gold standard for validation of the scheme. Results: When the scheme classified patients as having eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73m(2), it was correct in 93.5% of cases. The specificity of the scheme was close to 100% in all age groups. The sensitivity was poor, ranging from 68.2% in the youngest age quartile, down to 10.7% in the oldest age quartile. Age-related decline in renal function makes a large proportion of elderly patients fall into the chronic kidney disease (CKD) range without receiving CKD diagnoses, as this often is seen as part of normal ageing. Conclusions: In the absence of renal function tests, our scheme may be of value for identifying patients with moderate and severe CKD on the basis of diagnostic and prescription data for use in studies of large healthcare databases.