PHILOSOPHY OF CLIMATE SCIENCE: MODELS, PROBLEMS AND UNCERTAINTIES

被引：1

作者：

Madrid Casado, Carlos M. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Fdn Gustavo Bueno, Oviedo, Spain

来源：

REVISTA COLOMBIANA DE FILOSOFIA DE LA CIENCIA | 2020年 / 20卷 / 41期

关键词：

global warming; detection; attribution; climate models; uncertainties; epistemology; scientific realism; GLOBAL TEMPERATURE;

D O I：

10.18270/rcfc.v20i41.3193

中图分类号：

N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];

学科分类号：

01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;

摘要：

The aim of this paper is to show the epistemological problems that researchers of climate change face. The topic of theory-laden observation appears within the field as an indispensability of theoretical models in detecting and attributing climate change. The empirical underdetermination of models is accompanied by an uncertainty of values (of instrumental series and proxy-data) and a structural uncertainty (relative to couplings and radiative forcings). Finally, the article examines the realism of global climate models in connection with their calibration, deterministic chaos and climate projections.

引用

页码：201 / 234

页数：34

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