Light-stacking strengthened fusion based building energy consumption prediction framework via variable weight feature selection

被引:20
作者
Sun, Jian [1 ]
Liu, Gang [1 ]
Sun, Boyang [2 ]
Xiao, Gang [3 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Univ Elect Power, Sch Automat Engn, Shanghai 200000, Peoples R China
[2] Shanghai Elect Power Co, Engn Construct Consulting Branch, State Grid, Shanghai 200122, Peoples R China
[3] Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Aeronaut & Astronaut, Shanghai 200040, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Short-term building energy forecasting; Integrated learning algorithm; Light-Stacking Strengthened Fusion Framework; Variable Weight Feature Selection; SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION; RANDOM FORESTS; LOAD; SYSTEMS; OPTIMIZATION; PERFORMANCE; OPERATION; CLIMATE; DEMAND;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.117694
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Building energy consumption prediction plays an irreplaceable role in energy resource management and planning. Continuous improvement in the performance of predictive models is the key to ensure energy management and deployment operations. The imbalance between the speed and the accuracy for hyperparameter optimization is an important factor that limits the performance of the model. A Light-Stacking Strengthened Fusion Framework (LSStFu) is proposed to solve this problem. The optimization and fusion of the multi-type hyperparameter model obtained by random search can greatly improve the accuracy of the model prediction. This process can also assure a reduction in time consumption when compared with grid search. Moreover, a feature selection algorithm can only describe a single aspect of a bunch of multiple types of data sets, which limits the generalization performance ability of the algorithm. In order to address the above limitation, a Variable Weight Feature Selection (VWFS) method is proposed to fuse the contribution of three feature selection algorithms based on particle swarm optimization. To evaluate the robustness of the proposed LSStFu algorithm, it is compared with other algorithms through eight evaluation indicators. This evaluation process verifies the reliability and stability of the Light-Stacking framework to provide an efficient, accurate, and stable hyperparameter optimization framework for energy predictive models. From the ablation analysis, it can be observed that with the optimal subset of features obtained through the VWFS, the accuracy of the prediction models is improved. In addition, the model construction process has also sped up at the same time.
引用
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页数:14
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