Self-selection and wages during volatile transition

Using data from before and after the macro-financial crisis and structural reform in Bulgaria, and a sophisticated selectivity correction econometric methodology, this paper explores human capital allocation and returns in four labor market sectors. Our results indicate that while in the aftermath of structural reform highly productive laborers undertook self-employment, the private sector failed to develop along the high skill and high return fringes of the economy. Our results raise questions about the success of structural reform, and stress the need to adequately account for the impact of self-selection based on both observed and unobserved skills in the assessment of returns to human capital. Journal of Comparative Economics 35 (3) (2007) 612-629. Faculty of Economics and Finance, Brunel Business School, UK; Rutgers University, USA. (c) 2007 Association for Comparative Economic Studies. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.