Direct causal cascade in the stock market

被引:189
作者
Arneodo, A
Muzy, JF
Sornette, D
机构
[1] Univ Bordeaux 1, Ctr Rech Paul Pascal, CNRS UPR 8641, F-33600 Pessac, France
[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Earth & Space Sci, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
[3] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Inst Geophys & Planetary Phys, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
[4] Univ Sci, Phys Mat Condensee Lab, CNRS URA 190, F-06108 Nice 2, France
关键词
D O I
10.1007/s100510050250
中图分类号
O469 [凝聚态物理学];
学科分类号
070205 ;
摘要
We use wavelets to decompose the volatility (standard deviation) of intraday (S&P500) return data across scales. We show that when investigating two-point correlation functions of the volatility logarithms across different time scales, one reveals the existence of a causal information cascade from large scales (i.e. small frequencies) to fine scales. We quantify and visualize the information Aux across scales. We provide a possible interpretation of our findings in terms of market dynamics.
引用
收藏
页码:277 / 282
页数:6
相关论文
共 49 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 1972, The Collected Scientific Papers of Paul A. Samuelson
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1930, Les inegalites economiques
[3]  
Arneodo A, 1997, J PHYS II, V7, P363, DOI 10.1051/jp2:1997130
[4]  
ARNEODO A, 1997, ANAL RANDOM CASCADES
[5]  
ARNEODO A, CONDMAT9607120
[6]  
ARNEODO A, UNPUB RANDOM MULTIPL
[7]  
BACHELIER ML, 1900, THEORIE SPECULATION
[8]   WHY DOES THE STOCK-MARKET FLUCTUATE [J].
BARSKY, RB ;
DELONG, JB .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 1993, 108 (02) :291-311
[9]   ARCH MODELING IN FINANCE - A REVIEW OF THE THEORY AND EMPIRICAL-EVIDENCE [J].
BOLLERSLEV, T ;
CHOU, RY ;
KRONER, KF .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 1992, 52 (1-2) :5-59
[10]  
Bouchaud J.-P., 1997, Theory of Financial Risks