Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020

被引：78
作者：
Pullano, Giulia [1 ]
Pinotti, Francesco [1 ]
Valdano, Eugenio [2 ]
Boelle, Pierre-Yves [1 ]
Poletto, Chiara [1 ]
Colizza, Vittoria [1 ]
机构：
[1] Sorbonne Univ, IPLESP, INSERM, Paris, France
[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, David Geffen Sch Med, Semel Inst Neurosci & Human Behav, Ctr Biomed Modeling, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
来源：
EUROSURVEILLANCE | 2020年 / 25卷 / 04期
基金：
欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词：
D O I：
10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
中图分类号：
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号：
100401 ;
摘要：
As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.
引用
收藏
页码：2 / 6
页数：5
相关论文
共 12 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], 2020, Channel News Asia
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2020, Emergencies preparedness, response, Disease outbreak news
  • [3] Australian Government Department of Health, 2020, UPD NOV COR JAN 28 2
  • [4] Pneumonia of unknown aetiology in Wuhan, China: potential for international spread via commercial air travel
    Bogoch, Isaac I.
    Watts, Alexander
    Thomas-Bachli, Andrea
    Huber, Carmen
    Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
    Khan, Kamran
    [J]. JOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE, 2020, 27 (02)
  • [5] Chinazzi M, Preliminary assessment of the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2019 novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak in Wuhan City
  • [6] ECDC, 2020, OUTBR AC RESP SYNDR
  • [7] ECDC, 2020, **NON-TRADITIONAL**
  • [8] Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering, 2020, WUH COR 2019 NCOV GL
  • [9] Korea Centers for Disease Control & Prevention, 2020, 4 IMP CAS 2019 NOV C
  • [10] Lai S., Preliminary risk analysis of 2019 novel coronavirus spread within and beyond China
12