Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020

被引：84

作者：

Pullano, Giulia ^{[1
]}

Pinotti, Francesco ^{[1
]}

Valdano, Eugenio ^{[2
]}

Boelle, Pierre-Yves ^{[1
]}

Poletto, Chiara ^{[1
]}

Colizza, Vittoria ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Sorbonne Univ, IPLESP, INSERM, Paris, France

[2] Univ Calif Los Angeles, David Geffen Sch Med, Semel Inst Neurosci & Human Behav, Ctr Biomed Modeling, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA

来源：

EUROSURVEILLANCE | 2020年 / 25卷 / 04期

基金：

欧盟地平线“2020”;

关键词：

D O I：

10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057

中图分类号：

R51 [传染病];

学科分类号：

100401 ;

摘要：

As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.

引用

页码：2 / 6

页数：5

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