Structural identifiability of compartmental models for infectious disease transmission is influenced by data type

被引:6
|
作者
Dankwa, Emmanuelle A. [1 ]
Brouwer, Andrew F. [2 ]
Donnelly, Christl A. [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Stat, 24-29 St Giles, Oxford, England
[2] Univ Michigan, Dept Epidemiol, 1415 Washington Hts, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
[3] Imperial Coll London, Fac Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Infect Dis Epidemiol, London, England
基金
美国国家卫生研究院; 美国国家科学基金会; 英国医学研究理事会;
关键词
Structural identifiability; Infectious disease transmission; Compartmental models; Data types; Initial conditions; GLOBAL IDENTIFIABILITY; PARAMETER;
D O I
10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100643
中图分类号
R51 [传染病];
学科分类号
100401 ;
摘要
If model identifiability is not confirmed, inferences from infectious disease transmission models may not be reliable, so they might result in misleading recommendations. Structural identifiability analysis characterises whether it is possible to obtain unique solutions for all unknown model parameters, given the model structure. In this work, we studied the structural identifiability of some typical deterministic compartmental models for infectious disease transmission, focusing on the influence of the data type considered as model output on the identifiability of unknown model parameters, including initial conditions. We defined 26 model versions, each having a unique combination of underlying compartmental structure and data type(s) considered as model output(s). Four compartmental model structures and three common data types in disease surveillance (incidence, prevalence and detected vector counts) were studied. The structural identifiability of some parameters varied depending on the type of model output. In general, models with multiple data types as outputs had more structurally identifiable parameters, than did models with a single data type as output. This study highlights the importance of a careful consideration of data types as an integral part of the inference process with compartmental infectious disease transmission models.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] FOMO (fate of online media only) in infectious disease modeling: a review of compartmental models
    Joanna Sooknanan
    Terence A. R. Seemungal
    International Journal of Dynamics and Control, 2023, 11 : 892 - 899
  • [22] A Survey of Infectious Disease Transmission Data Visual Analysis
    Chen X.
    Xu L.
    Ge L.
    Zhang B.
    Che S.
    Liu H.
    Jisuanji Fuzhu Sheji Yu Tuxingxue Xuebao/Journal of Computer-Aided Design and Computer Graphics, 2020, 32 (10): : 1581 - 1593
  • [23] Incorporating media data into a model of infectious disease transmission
    Kim, Louis
    Fast, Shannon M.
    Markuzon, Natasha
    PLOS ONE, 2019, 14 (02):
  • [24] DIRECT LIKELIHOOD-BASED INFERENCE FOR DISCRETELY OBSERVED STOCHASTIC COMPARTMENTAL MODELS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASE
    Ho, Lam Si Tung
    Crawford, Forrest W.
    Suchard, Marc A.
    ANNALS OF APPLIED STATISTICS, 2018, 12 (03): : 1993 - 2021
  • [25] Infectious Disease Modelling of HIV Prevention Interventions: A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis of Compartmental Models
    Giddings, Rebecca
    Indravudh, Pitchaya
    Medley, Graham F.
    Bozzani, Fiammetta
    Gafos, Mitzy
    Malhotra, Shelly
    Terris-Prestholt, Fern
    Torres-Rueda, Sergio
    Quaife, Matthew
    PHARMACOECONOMICS, 2023, 41 (6) : 693 - 707
  • [26] Time-Dependent Infectivity and Flexible Latent and Infectious Periods in Compartmental Models of Plant Disease
    Cunniffe, N. J.
    Stutt, R. O. J. H.
    van den Bosch, F.
    Gilligan, C. A.
    PHYTOPATHOLOGY, 2012, 102 (04) : 365 - 380
  • [27] Integrating Agent-Based and Compartmental Models for Infectious Disease Modeling: A Novel Hybrid Approach
    Bostanci, Inan
    Conrad, Tim O. F.
    JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION, 2025, 28 (01):
  • [28] Infectious Disease Modelling of HIV Prevention Interventions: A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis of Compartmental Models
    Rebecca Giddings
    Pitchaya Indravudh
    Graham F. Medley
    Fiammetta Bozzani
    Mitzy Gafos
    Shelly Malhotra
    Fern Terris-Prestholt
    Sergio Torres-Rueda
    Matthew Quaife
    PharmacoEconomics, 2023, 41 : 693 - 707
  • [29] Incorporating population dynamics into household models of infectious disease transmission
    Glass, K.
    McCaw, J. M.
    McVernon, J.
    EPIDEMICS, 2011, 3 (3-4) : 152 - 158
  • [30] Dynamic Models of Infectious Disease Transmission in Prisons and the General Population
    Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L.
    Vigliotti, Vivian S.
    Skrip, Laura A.
    Dolan, Kate
    Galvani, Alison P.
    EPIDEMIOLOGIC REVIEWS, 2018, 40 (01) : 40 - 57