Inexact two-stage stochastic partial programming: application to water resources management under uncertainty

被引:36
作者
Fan, Y. R. [1 ]
Huang, G. H. [1 ]
Guo, P. [2 ]
Yang, A. L. [1 ]
机构
[1] N China Elect Power Univ, S&C Acad Energy & Environm Res, MOE Key Lab Reg Energy Syst Optimizat, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
[2] China Agr Univ, Coll Water Conservancy & Civil Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
关键词
Decision making; Inexact optimization; Linear partial information; Uncertainty; Water resources management; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s00477-011-0504-6
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In this study, an inexact two-stage stochastic partial programming (ITSPP) method is developed for tackling uncertainties presented as intervals and partial probability distributions. A scenario-based interactive algorithm is proposed to solve the ITSPP model. This algorithm is implemented through: (i) obtaining extreme points of the linear partial information (LPI); (ii) generating an inexact two-stage stochastic programming (ITSP) model under each extreme point; (iii) solving ITSP models through interactive algorithm proposed by Huang and Loucks (Civil Eng Environ Syst 17:95-118, 2000); (iv) acquiring the interval solutions under each extreme point and the final optimal interval for the objective function. The developed method is applied to a case study for water-resources planning. The modelling results can generate a series of decision alternatives under various system conditions, and thus help decision makers identify the desired water-resources management policies under uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码:281 / 293
页数:13
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