Consistent estimation for fractional stochastic volatility model under high-frequency asymptotics

被引:28
作者
Fukasawa, Masaaki [1 ]
Takabatake, Tetsuya [2 ]
Westphal, Rebecca [3 ]
机构
[1] Osaka Univ, Grad Sch Engn Sci, Osaka, Japan
[2] Hiroshima Univ, Sch Econ, Hiroshima, Japan
[3] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Management Technol & Econ, Zurich, Switzerland
关键词
fractional Brownian motion; high-frequency data analysis; realized variance; rough volatility; stochastic volatility; Whittle estimator; ERROR;
D O I
10.1111/mafi.12354
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We develop a statistical theory for a continuous time approximately log-normal fractional stochastic volatility model to examine whether the volatility is rough, that is, whether the Hurst parameter is less than one half. We construct a quasi-likelihood estimator and apply it to realized volatility time series. Our quasi-likelihood is based on the error distribution of the realized volatility and a Whittle-type approximation to the auto-covariance of the log-volatility process. We prove the consistency of our estimator under high-frequency asymptotics, and examine by simulations its finite sample performance. Our empirical study suggests that the volatility of the time series examined is indeed rough.
引用
收藏
页码:1086 / 1132
页数:47
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