Evaluation of Factors Affecting E-Bike Involved Crash and E-Bike License Plate Use in China Using a Bivariate Probit Model

被引:37
作者
Guo, Yanyong [1 ,2 ]
Zhou, Jibiao [3 ,4 ]
Wu, Yao [1 ]
Chen, Jingxu [1 ]
机构
[1] Southeast Univ, Jiangsu Prov Collaborat Innovat Ctr Modern Urban, Jiangsu Key Lab Urban ITS, Sipailou 2, Nanjing 210096, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[2] Univ British Columbia, Dept Civil Engn, 6250 Appl Sci Lane, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
[3] Ningbo Univ Technol, Sch Civil & Transportat Engn, Fenghua Rd 201, Ningbo 315211, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[4] Huaiyin Inst Technol, Key Lab Traff & Transportat Secur Jiangsu Prov, Meicheng Rd 1, Huaiyin 223003, Peoples R China
基金
中国博士后科学基金; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
INJURY SEVERITY; ELECTRIC BIKES; SAFETY; BEHAVIOR; CITY; INTERSECTIONS; ACCIDENTS; CYCLISTS; SHANGHAI; VEHICLES;
D O I
10.1155/2017/2142659
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The primary objective of this study is to evaluate factors affecting e-bike involved crash and license plate use in China. E-bike crashes data were collected from police database and completed through a telephone interview. Noncrash samples were collected by a questionnaire survey. A bivariate probit (BP) model was developed to simultaneously examine the significant factors associated with e-bike involved crash and e-bike license plate and to account for the correlations between them. Marginal effects for contributory factors were calculated to quantify their impacts on the outcomes. The results show that several contributory factors, including gender, age, education level, driver license, car in household, experiences in using e-bike, law compliance, and aggressive driving behaviors, are found to have significant impacts on both e-bike involved crash and license plate use. Moreover, type of e-bike, frequency of using e-bike, impulse behavior, degree of riding experience, and risk perception scale are found to be associated with e-bike involved crash. It is also found that e-bike involved crash and e-bike license plate use are strongly correlated and are negative in direction. The result enhanced our comprehension of the factors related to e-bike involved crash and e-bike license plate use.
引用
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页数:12
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