Effect of vaccination against COVID-19 spreading

被引:2
作者
Sugawara, Hirotaka [1 ]
机构
[1] KEK, 1-1 Oho, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3050801, Japan
来源
PROCEEDINGS OF THE JAPAN ACADEMY SERIES B-PHYSICAL AND BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES | 2021年 / 97卷 / 09期
关键词
SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; vaccination; variant;
D O I
10.2183/pjab.97.027
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We continue (Ref. 1: Proc. Jpn. Acad. Ser. B 97, 22-49) to analyze the COVID-19 status. We concentrate on the following issues in this work: 1. Effect of vaccination against the spreading of SARS-CoV-2. 2. General landscape of the world situation concerning vaccinations. 3. Some aspects of the new variants of SARS-CoV-2. Our findings include: 1. With vaccinations, it is fair to say that we have entered a new phase in the fight against the virus SARS-CoV-2. We have analyzed some preliminary data to find how vaccinations can be effective against COVID-19 spreading. This analysis is based on, and is a continuation of, our first paper quoted in Ref. 1. 2. If Tokyo (or Japan) continues to keep its vaccination schedule (starting in early April, 2021 and finishing it for elderly, 65 or older, in 4 months), it will see a sign of control of the virus in early June, 2021 although we see changes of this status due to new, more contagious variants. 3. The strength (parameter beta) of a new contagious variant can be estimated based on the initial data on the variant (Section 5).
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页码:543 / 558
页数:16
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