Application of Logistic Model in City Development Forecast

It is well known that the Logistic model is mainly used in epidemiology. The more common situation is to explore the risk factors of a disease and predict the probability of occurrence of a disease according to the risk factors. However, we found that the Logistic model is not only significant in epidemiology, but also plays an important role in city development prediction through our research. This paper selects six factors (Growth Rate of Population; Environmental Performance Index; Per Capita Disposable Income; Unemployment Rate; Engels Coefficient; Geordie Coefficient). These factors are indexes of city development. Then we use the Logistic model to predict the value of these indexes in decades. And according to the prediction values, we can judge the development degree and provide references for city development.