Application of Logistic Model in City Development Forecast

被引：0

作者：

Wu, Xiaoshuai ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Sch North China Elect Power Univ, Baoding 071003, Peoples R China

来源：

PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2017 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MATERIALS SCIENCE, MACHINERY AND ENERGY ENGINEERING (MSMEE 2017) | 2017年 / 123卷

关键词：

Logistic Model; evaluation index; index prediction; city development;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

T [工业技术];

学科分类号：

08 ;

摘要：

It is well known that the Logistic model is mainly used in epidemiology. The more common situation is to explore the risk factors of a disease and predict the probability of occurrence of a disease according to the risk factors. However, we found that the Logistic model is not only significant in epidemiology, but also plays an important role in city development prediction through our research. This paper selects six factors (Growth Rate of Population; Environmental Performance Index; Per Capita Disposable Income; Unemployment Rate; Engels Coefficient; Geordie Coefficient). These factors are indexes of city development. Then we use the Logistic model to predict the value of these indexes in decades. And according to the prediction values, we can judge the development degree and provide references for city development.

引用

页码：706 / 710

页数：5

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