Future Interactions Between Sea Level Rise, Tides, and Storm Surges in the World's Largest Urban Area

被引：45

作者：

De Dominicis, Michela ^{[1
]}

Wolf, Judith ^{[1
]}

Jevrejeva, Svetlana ^{[1
,2
]}

Zheng, Peng ^{[3
,4
]}

Hu, Zhan ^{[5
,6
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Oceanog Ctr, Liverpool, Merseyside, England

[2] Ctr Climate Res Singapore, Singapore, Singapore

[3] Univ Liverpool, Sch Engn, Liverpool, Merseyside, England

[4] Ocean Univ China, Coll Ocean & Atmospher Sci, Qingdao, Peoples R China

[5] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Marine Sci, Guangzhou, Peoples R China

[6] Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab, Zhuhai, Peoples R China

来源：

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS | 2020年 / 47卷 / 04期

基金：

英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;

关键词：

PEARL RIVER DELTA; CLIMATE-CHANGE; TIDAL DYNAMICS; IMPACT; FLOOD; ESTUARY; MODEL; OCEAN; BAY;

D O I：

10.1029/2020GL087002

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

The Pearl River Delta contains the world's largest urban area in both size and population. It is a low-lying flood-prone coastal environment exposed to sea level rise (SLR) and extreme water levels caused by typhoons. A Finite Volume Community Ocean Model implementation for the South China Sea and the Pearl River Delta is used to understand how future SLR, tides, and typhoon storm surges will interact and affect coastal inundation. The SLR signal and extreme surge levels provide the major contributions to flooding; however, amplification of tides could exceed 0.5 m for 2.1 m SLR and should be considered when planning future coastal defences. On the other hand, if typhoons like Hato or Mangkhut, the latest and strongest ones hitting the area, were to happen in the future, a surge level reduction up to 0.5 m could be expected in coastal areas.

引用

页数：11

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