An agent-based model for risk-based flood incident management

被引：234

作者：

Dawson, Richard J. ^{[1
,2
]}

Peppe, Roger ^{[1
,2
]}

Wang, Miao ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Newcastle Univ, Sch Civil Engn & Geosci, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England

[2] Newcastle Univ, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England

来源：

NATURAL HAZARDS | 2011年 / 59卷 / 01期

基金：

英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;

关键词：

Flooding; Risk analysis; Disaster management; Agent-based model; Evacuation; HUMAN STABILITY; SIMULATION; BENEFITS;

D O I：

10.1007/s11069-011-9745-4

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Effective flood incident management (FIM) requires successful operation of complex, interacting human and technological systems. A dynamic agent-based model of FIM processes has been developed to provide new insights which can be used for policy analysis and other practical applications. The model integrates remotely sensed information on topography, buildings and road networks with empirical survey data to fit characteristics of specific communities. The multiagent simulation has been coupled with a hydrodynamic model to estimate the vulnerability of individuals to flooding under different storm surge conditions, defence breach scenarios, flood warning times and evacuation strategies. A case study in the coastal town of Towyn in the United Kingdom has demonstrated the capacity of the model to analyse the risks of flooding to people, support flood emergency planning and appraise the benefits of flood incident management measures.

引用

页码：167 / 189

页数：23

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