critical care triage;
intensive care unit;
pandemic;
disaster;
H5N1;
ALLOCATION;
ILL;
VALIDATION;
RESOURCES;
INFECTION;
DISASTER;
SEPSIS;
RATIO;
H1N1;
D O I:
10.1001/dmp.2010.40
中图分类号:
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号:
1004 ;
120402 ;
摘要:
Objective: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score has been recommended for triage during a mass influx of critically ill patients, but it requires laboratory measurement of 4 parameters, which may be impractical with constrained resources. We hypothesized that a modified SOFA (MSOFA) score that requires only 1 laboratory measurement would predict patient outcome as effectively as the SOFA score. Methods: After a retrospective derivation in a prospective observational study in a 24-bed medical, surgical, and trauma intensive care unit, we determined serial SOFA and MSOFA scores on all patients admitted during the 2008 calendar year and compared the ability to predict mortality and the need for mechanical ventilation. Results: A total of 1770 patients (56% male patients) with a 30-day mortality of 10.5% were included in the study. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA scores performed equally well at predicting mortality with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.81-.85) and 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.82-.85), respectively (P=.33 for comparison). Day 3 SOFA and MSOFA predicted mortality for the 828 patients remaining in the intensive care unit with an AUC of 0.78 and 0.79, respectively. Day 5 scores performed less well at predicting mortality. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA predicted the need for mechanical ventilation on day 3, with an AUC of 0.83 and 0.82, respectively. Mortality for the highest category of SOFA and MSOFA score (>11 points) was 53% and 58%, respectively. Conclusions: The MSOFA predicts mortality as well as the SOFA and is easier to implement in resource-constrained settings, but using either score as a triage tool would exclude many patients who would otherwise survive. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2010;4:277-284)
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Donoso-Calero, Maria I.
Sanz-Garcia, Ancor
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Technol Innovat Appl Hlth Res Grp ITAS, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Sanz-Garcia, Ancor
Polonio-Lopez, Begona
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Technol Innovat Appl Hlth Res Grp ITAS, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Polonio-Lopez, Begona
Maestre Miquel, Clara
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Maestre Miquel, Clara
Durantez Fernandez, Carlos
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Valladolid, Fac Nursing, Valladolid, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Durantez Fernandez, Carlos
Mordillo-Mateos, Laura
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Technol Innovat Appl Hlth Res Grp ITAS, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Mordillo-Mateos, Laura
Mohedano-Moriano, Alicia
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Technol Innovat Appl Hlth Res Grp ITAS, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Mohedano-Moriano, Alicia
Conty-Serrano, Rosa
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Nursing, Toledo, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Conty-Serrano, Rosa
Otero-Agra, Martin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Vigo, Sch Nursing Pontevedra, Pontevedra, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Otero-Agra, Martin
Jorge-Soto, Cristina
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Santiago de Compostela, Fac Nursing, Santiago De Compostela, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Jorge-Soto, Cristina
Martin-Conty, Jose L.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Technol Innovat Appl Hlth Res Grp ITAS, Talavera De La Reina, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
Martin-Conty, Jose L.
Martin-Rodriguez, Francisco
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h-index: 0
机构:
Prehosp Early Warning Scoring Syst Invest Grp, Valladolid, Spain
Univ Valladolid, Fac Med, Valladolid, Spain
Emergency Med Serv SACYL, Adv Life Support, Valladolid, SpainUniv Castilla La Mancha, Fac Hlth Sci, Talavera De La Reina, Spain
机构:
Department of Veterinary Emergency and Critical Care, College of Veterinary Medicine, Konkuk University, 120 Neungdong-Ro, Gwangin-Gu, SeoulDepartment of Veterinary Emergency and Critical Care, College of Veterinary Medicine, Konkuk University, 120 Neungdong-Ro, Gwangin-Gu, Seoul
Soyeon Gwak
HyunJung Han
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h-index: 0
机构:
Department of Veterinary Emergency and Critical Care, College of Veterinary Medicine, Konkuk University, 120 Neungdong-Ro, Gwangin-Gu, SeoulDepartment of Veterinary Emergency and Critical Care, College of Veterinary Medicine, Konkuk University, 120 Neungdong-Ro, Gwangin-Gu, Seoul
机构:
Carolinas Med Ctr, Dept Emergency Med, Charlotte, NC 28203 USACarolinas Med Ctr, Dept Emergency Med, Charlotte, NC 28203 USA
Jones, Alan E.
Trzeciak, Stephen
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Cooper Univ Hosp, UMDNJ Robert Wood Johnson Med Sch Camden, Dept Emergency Med, Div Crit Care Med, Camden, NJ USACarolinas Med Ctr, Dept Emergency Med, Charlotte, NC 28203 USA
Trzeciak, Stephen
Kline, Jeffrey A.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Carolinas Med Ctr, Dept Emergency Med, Charlotte, NC 28203 USACarolinas Med Ctr, Dept Emergency Med, Charlotte, NC 28203 USA
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea
Shin, Yonghoon
Jang, Ji Hoon
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inje Univ, Inje Univ Haeundae Paik Hosp, Coll Med, Dept Internal Med,Div Pulmonol, 875 Haeun Daero, Busan 48108, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea
Jang, Ji Hoon
Ko, Ryoung-Eun
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea
Ko, Ryoung-Eun
论文数: 引用数:
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机构:
Na, Soo Jin
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机构:
Chung, Chi Ryang
论文数: 引用数:
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机构:
Choi, Ki Hong
Park, Taek Kyu
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Heart Vasc Stroke Inst, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med,Dept Med,Div Cardiol, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea
Park, Taek Kyu
Lee, Joo Myung
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Heart Vasc Stroke Inst, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med,Dept Med,Div Cardiol, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea
Lee, Joo Myung
Yang, Jeong Hoon
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Heart Vasc Stroke Inst, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med,Dept Med,Div Cardiol, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Sch Med, Dept Crit Care Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul, South Korea