critical care triage;
intensive care unit;
pandemic;
disaster;
H5N1;
ALLOCATION;
ILL;
VALIDATION;
RESOURCES;
INFECTION;
DISASTER;
SEPSIS;
RATIO;
H1N1;
D O I:
10.1001/dmp.2010.40
中图分类号:
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号:
1004 ;
120402 ;
摘要:
Objective: The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score has been recommended for triage during a mass influx of critically ill patients, but it requires laboratory measurement of 4 parameters, which may be impractical with constrained resources. We hypothesized that a modified SOFA (MSOFA) score that requires only 1 laboratory measurement would predict patient outcome as effectively as the SOFA score. Methods: After a retrospective derivation in a prospective observational study in a 24-bed medical, surgical, and trauma intensive care unit, we determined serial SOFA and MSOFA scores on all patients admitted during the 2008 calendar year and compared the ability to predict mortality and the need for mechanical ventilation. Results: A total of 1770 patients (56% male patients) with a 30-day mortality of 10.5% were included in the study. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA scores performed equally well at predicting mortality with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.81-.85) and 0.84 (95% confidence interval 0.82-.85), respectively (P=.33 for comparison). Day 3 SOFA and MSOFA predicted mortality for the 828 patients remaining in the intensive care unit with an AUC of 0.78 and 0.79, respectively. Day 5 scores performed less well at predicting mortality. Day 1 SOFA and MSOFA predicted the need for mechanical ventilation on day 3, with an AUC of 0.83 and 0.82, respectively. Mortality for the highest category of SOFA and MSOFA score (>11 points) was 53% and 58%, respectively. Conclusions: The MSOFA predicts mortality as well as the SOFA and is easier to implement in resource-constrained settings, but using either score as a triage tool would exclude many patients who would otherwise survive. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2010;4:277-284)
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Ko, Ryoung-Eun
Kwon, Oyeon
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
VUNO, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Kwon, Oyeon
Cho, Kyung-Jae
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
VUNO, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Cho, Kyung-Jae
Lee, Yeon Joo
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Seoul Natl Univ, Div Pulm & Crit Care Med, Bundang Hosp, Seongnam, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Lee, Yeon Joo
Kwon, Joon-Myoung
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mediplex Sejong Hosp, Dept Crit Care & Emergency Med, Incheon, South Korea
Med AI Co, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Kwon, Joon-Myoung
Park, Jinsik
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mediplex Sejong Hosp, Cardiovasc Ctr, Div Cardiol, Incheon, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Park, Jinsik
Kim, Jung Soo
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inha Univ, Inha Univ Hosp, Dept Hosp Med, Div Crit Care Med,Coll Med, Incheon, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Kim, Jung Soo
Kim, Ah Jin
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inha Univ, Inha Univ Hosp, Dept Hosp Med, Div Crit Care Med,Coll Med, Incheon, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Kim, Ah Jin
Jo, You Hwan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Seoul Natl Univ, Dept Emergency Med, Bundang Hosp, Seongnam, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Jo, You Hwan
Lee, Yeha
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
VUNO, Seoul, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
Lee, Yeha
Jeon, Kyeongman
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Sungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Med, Div Pulm & Crit Care Med,Sch Med, 81 Irwon Ro, Seoul 06351, South KoreaSungkyunkwan Univ, Samsung Med Ctr, Dept Crit Care Med, Sch Med, Seoul, South Korea
机构:
Mayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Multidisciplinary Epidemiol & Translat Res Intens, Rochester, MN USAMayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Yadav, Hemang
Harrison, Andrew M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Multidisciplinary Epidemiol & Translat Res Intens, Rochester, MN USA
Mayo Clin, Mayo Sch Grad Med Educ, Med Scientist Training Program, Rochester, MN USAMayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Harrison, Andrew M.
Hanson, Andrew C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Multidisciplinary Epidemiol & Translat Res Intens, Rochester, MN USAMayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Hanson, Andrew C.
Gajic, Ognjen
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Multidisciplinary Epidemiol & Translat Res Intens, Rochester, MN USAMayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Gajic, Ognjen
Kor, Daryl J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Multidisciplinary Epidemiol & Translat Res Intens, Rochester, MN USA
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Rochester, MN USAMayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Kor, Daryl J.
Cartin-Ceba, Rodrigo
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Mayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
Mayo Clin, Dept Anesthesiol, Multidisciplinary Epidemiol & Translat Res Intens, Rochester, MN USAMayo Clin, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Rochester, MN 55905 USA
机构:
Inst Nacl Cancerol, Intens Care Unit, Mexico City 14080, DF, Mexico
Inst Nacl Ciencias Med & Nutr Salvador Zubiran, Intens Care Unit, Mexico City, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Cancerol, Intens Care Unit, Mexico City 14080, DF, Mexico
Namendys-Silva, Silvio A.
Texcocano-Becerra, Julia
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Cancerol, Intens Care Unit, Mexico City 14080, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Cancerol, Intens Care Unit, Mexico City 14080, DF, Mexico
Texcocano-Becerra, Julia
Herrera-Gomez, Angel
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Cancerol, Dept Surg Oncol, Mexico City 14080, DF, MexicoInst Nacl Cancerol, Intens Care Unit, Mexico City 14080, DF, Mexico
机构:
Karolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Karolinska Univ Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Valik, John Karlsson
Mellhammar, Lisa
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Lund Univ, Dept Clin Sci, Div Infect Med, Lund, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Mellhammar, Lisa
Sunden-Cullberg, Jonas
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Karolinska Univ Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Karolinska Inst, Dept Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Sunden-Cullberg, Jonas
Ward, Logan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Treat Syst ApS, Aalborg, DenmarkKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Ward, Logan
Unge, Christian
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Karolinska Inst, Dept Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Unge, Christian
Dalianis, Hercules
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Stockholm Univ, Dept Comp & Syst Sci, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Dalianis, Hercules
Henriksson, Aron
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Stockholm Univ, Dept Comp & Syst Sci, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Henriksson, Aron
Stralin, Kristoffer
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Karolinska Univ Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Karolinska Inst, Dept Med, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Stralin, Kristoffer
Linder, Adam
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Lund Univ, Dept Clin Sci, Div Infect Med, Lund, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Linder, Adam
Naucler, Pontus
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Karolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
Karolinska Univ Hosp, Dept Infect Dis, Stockholm, SwedenKarolinska Inst, Dept Med, Div Infect Dis, Stockholm, Sweden
机构:
CHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Univ Beira Interior, Fac Ciencias Saude, Covilha, PortugalCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Moreno, Rui
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Rhodes, Andrew
论文数: 引用数:
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机构:
Piquilloud, Lise
Hernandez, Glenn
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Fac Med, Dept Med Intens, Santiago, ChileCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Hernandez, Glenn
Takala, Jukka
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Bern, Dept Intens Care Med, Univ Hosp Bern, Bern, SwitzerlandCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Takala, Jukka
Gershengorn, Hayley B.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Div Pulm Crit Care & Sleep Med, Miami, FL 33136 USACHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Gershengorn, Hayley B.
Tavares, Miguel
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
CHU Porto, Hosp Santo Antonio, Dept Anesthesiol Crit Care & Emergency Med, Porto, PortugalCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Tavares, Miguel
Coopersmith, Craig M.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Emory Crit Care Ctr, Dept Surg, Atlanta, GA 30322 USACHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Coopersmith, Craig M.
Myatra, Sheila N.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Tata Mem Hosp, Homi Bhabha Natl Inst, Dept Anaesthesiol Crit Care & Pain, Mumbai, Maharashtra, IndiaCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Myatra, Sheila N.
Singer, Mervyn
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
UCL, Bloomsbury Inst Intens Care Med, Div Med, London, EnglandCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Singer, Mervyn
Rezende, Ederlon
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Hosp Servidor Publ Estadual Francisco Morato O, Sao Paulo, SP, BrazilCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Rezende, Ederlon
Prescott, Hallie C.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Michigan, Dept Med, Ann Arbor, MI USA
VA Ctr Clin Management Res, HSR&D Ctr Innovat, Ann Arbor, MI 48105 USACHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Prescott, Hallie C.
Soares, Marcio
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
DOr Inst Res & Educ IDOR, Dept Crit Care, Rio De Janeiro, BrazilCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Soares, Marcio
Timsit, Jean-Francois
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Hop Xavier Bichat, AP HP, Med & Infect Dis Intens Care Unit MI2, Paris, FranceCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Timsit, Jean-Francois
de Lange, Dylan W.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Utrecht, Univ Med Ctr Utrecht, Dept Intens Care Med, Utrecht, NetherlandsCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
de Lange, Dylan W.
论文数: 引用数:
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机构:
Jung, Christian
De Waele, Jan J.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Ghent Univ Hosp, Dept Crit Care Med, Ghent, BelgiumCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
De Waele, Jan J.
Martin, Greg S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Emory Univ, Div Pulm Allergy Crit Care & Sleep Med, Dept Med, Atlanta, GA USA
Grady Mem Hosp, Atlanta, GA USACHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Martin, Greg S.
论文数: 引用数:
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机构:
Summers, Charlotte
Azoulay, Elie
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Famirea Study Grp, Med Intens Care Unit, Paris, FranceCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Azoulay, Elie
Fujii, Tomoko
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Jikei Univ Hosp, Intens Care Unit, Tokyo, JapanCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
Fujii, Tomoko
McLean, Anthony S.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Nepean Hosp, Dept Intens Care Med, Kingswood, NSW, AustraliaCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal
McLean, Anthony S.
Vincent, Jean-Louis
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Libre Bruxelles, Erasme Hosp, Dept Intens Care, B-1070 Brussels, BelgiumCHU Lisboa Cent, Hosp Sao Jose, Nova Med Sch, Fac Ciencias Med Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal