Lifetime prediction from only present age: fact or fiction?

被引:3
作者
Ledford, A [1 ]
Marriott, P
Crowder, M
机构
[1] Univ Surrey, Dept Math & Stat, Guildford GU2 5XH, Surrey, England
[2] Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Stat & Appl Probabil, Singapore 117548, Singapore
[3] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Math, London, England
关键词
D O I
10.1016/S0375-9601(01)00089-5
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We focus on the widely used method of J.R. Gott III for predicting future Lifetime using only present age as confusion still reigns about whether it is justified. We provide a focused and precise examination of the method so that its validity or otherwise may be established unambiguously. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:309 / 311
页数:3
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