Connections Between the South Asian summer Monsoon and the Tropical Sea Surface Temperature in CMIP5

被引：9
作者：
Li Ruiqing [1 ,2 ]
Lu Shihua [1 ]
Han Bo [1 ]
Gao Yanhong [1 ]
机构：
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst, Key Lab Land Surface Proc & Climate Change Cold &, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
来源：
JOURNAL OF METEOROLOGICAL RESEARCH | 2015年 / 29卷 / 01期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金; 中国科学院西部之光基金;
关键词：
CMIP5; multi-model ensemble mean; South Asian summer monsoon (SASM); El Nino; all-India monsoon rainfall index (AIMRI); CLIMATE MODEL SIMULATIONS; EL-NINO; INDIAN MONSOON; ENSO; VARIABILITY; RAINFALL; PREDICTABILITY; TELECONNECTION; PROJECTIONS; EVOLUTION;
D O I：
10.1007/s13351-014-4031-5
中图分类号：
P4 [大气科学（气象学）];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
The South Asian summer monsoon (SASM) precipitation is analyzed based on reanalysis datasets and historical simulation results from 23 climate models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5). The results show that most models reproduce well the climatological pattern of SASM precipitation, but the main rainfall period lags that of the reanalysis by one month. The relationship between the simulated SASM precipitation and sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) is quite similar to the reanalysis data. This is attributed to the well-reproduced Walker cell anomaly in the tropical zone. It is projected that the negative correlation between SASM precipitation and SSTAs in the eastern equatorial Pacific will weaken and even reverse to a positive one in the period 2070-2096 under the representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenario with strong external forcing (RCP8.5), while the change of the correlation under moderate forcing (RCP4.5) still has great uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码：106 / 118
页数：13
相关论文
共 51 条
  • [21] 2
  • [22] South Asian summer monsoon precipitation variability: Coupled climate model simulations and projections under IPCC AR4
    Kripalani, R. H.
    Oh, J. H.
    Kulkarni, A.
    Sabade, S. S.
    Chaudhari, H. S.
    [J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2007, 90 (3-4) : 133 - 159
  • [23] Response of the East Asian summer monsoon to doubled atmospheric CO2:: Coupled climate model simulations and projections under IPCC AR4
    Kripalani, R. H.
    Oh, J. H.
    Chaudhari, H. S.
    [J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2007, 87 (1-4) : 1 - 28
  • [24] Climatology and variability of historical Soviet snow depth data: some new perspectives in snow - Indian monsoon teleconnections
    Kripalani, RH
    Kulkarni, A
    [J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 1999, 15 (06) : 475 - 489
  • [25] On the weakening relationship between the Indian monsoon and ENSO
    Kumar, KK
    Rajagopalan, B
    Cane, MA
    [J]. SCIENCE, 1999, 284 (5423) : 2156 - 2159
  • [26] A review of the predictability and prediction of ENSO
    Latif, M
    Anderson, D
    Barnett, T
    Cane, M
    Kleeman, R
    Leetmaa, A
    O'Brien, J
    Rosati, A
    Schneider, E
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 1998, 103 (C7) : 14375 - 14393
  • [27] [李瑞青 Li Ruiqing], 2013, [热带气象学报, Journal of Tropical Meteorology], V29, P749
  • [28] MAHFOUF JF, 1994, CLIM DYNAM, V9, P345, DOI 10.1007/s003820050028
  • [29] Simulated changes of the Indian summer monsoon under enhanced greenhouse gas conditions in a global time-slice experiment
    May, W
    [J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2002, 29 (07) : 22 - 1
  • [30] SOUTH ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON VARIABILITY IN A MODEL WITH DOUBLED ATMOSPHERIC CARBON-DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION
    MEEHL, GA
    WASHINGTON, WM
    [J]. SCIENCE, 1993, 260 (5111) : 1101 - 1104
123456