Long term fate of anthropogenic carbon

被引:60
作者
Montenegro, Alvaro
Brovkin, Victor
Eby, Michael
Archer, David
Weaver, Andrew J.
机构
[1] Univ Victoria, Dept Earth & Ocean Sci, Victoria, BC V8W 3P6, Canada
[2] Potsdam Climate Impact Res, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany
[3] Univ Chicago, Dept Geophys Sci, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2007GL030905
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
[1] Two earth-system models of intermediate complexity are used to study the long term response to an input of 5000 Pg of carbon into the atmosphere. About 75% of CO2 emissions have an average perturbation lifetime of 1800 years and 25% have lifetimes much longer than 5000 years. In the simulations, higher levels of atmospheric CO2 remain in the atmosphere than predicted by previous experiments and the average perturbation lifetime of atmospheric CO2 for this level of emissions is much longer than the 300-400 years proposed by other studies. At year 6800, CO2 concentrations between about 960 to 1440 ppmv result in global surface temperature increases between 6 and 8 degrees C. There is also significant surface ocean acidification, with pH decreasing from 8.16 to 7.46 units between years 2000 and 2300.
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页数:5
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