Asymptotics for garch squared residual correlations

被引:27
作者
Berkes, I
Horváth, L
Kokoszka, P
机构
[1] Hungarian Acad Sci, Inst Math, H-1364 Budapest, Hungary
[2] Univ Utah, Dept Math, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 USA
[3] Utah State Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Logan, UT 84322 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1017/S026646603194017
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We develop an asymptotic theory for quadratic forms of the autocorrelations of squared residuals from a GARCH(p,q) model. Denoting by (r) over cap (n)(k), k greater than or equal to 1, these autocorrelations computed from a realization of length n, we show that the statistic n((r) over cap (n)(i(1)),..., (r) over cap (n)(i(K))) (D) over cap (-1)(n)((r) over cap (n)(i(1)),...,(r) over cap (n)(i(K)))(T), where (D) over cap (n) is a matrix computed from the data, converges to the chi-square distribution with K degrees of freedom for any 1 less than or equal to i(1) < (...) < i(K). Our results are valid under weak assumptions on the innovations and model coefficients that admit that arbitrary low-order moments of the observations can be infinite. The matrix (D) over cap (n) and its asymptotic limit D depend on the distribution of the innovations. A small simulation study illustrates the theory and shows, in particular, that using the matrix D computed under the assumption of normal innovations may lead to incorrect conclusions if the innovations have a different distribution.
引用
收藏
页码:515 / 540
页数:26
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