Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC): a comparison of predictive performance of multiple classifiers modeling to identify cervical lymph node metastases before surgery

Purpose To compare predictive efficiency of multiple classifiers modeling and establish a combined magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics model for identifying lymph node (LN) metastases of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) preoperatively. Materials and methods A retrospective analysis based on the preoperative MRI scans of 109 PTC patients including 77 patients with LN metastases and 32 patients without metastases was conducted, and we divided enroll cases into trained group and validation group. Radiomics signatures were selected from fat-suppressed T2-weighted MRI images, and the optimal characteristics were confirmed by spearman correlation test, hypothesis testing and random forest methods, and then, eight predictive models were constructed by eight classifiers. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves analysis were performed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the models. Results The area under the curve (AUC) of ROC based on MRI texture diagnosed LN status by naked eye was 0.739 (sensitivity = 0.571, specificity = 0.906). Based on the 5 optimal signatures, the best AUC of MRI radiomics model by logistics regression classifier had a considerable prediction performance with AUCs 0.805 in trained group and 0.760 in validation group, respectively, and a combination of best radiomics model with visual diagnosis of MRI texture had a high AUC as 0.969 (sensitivity = 0.938, specificity = 1.000), suggesting combined model had a preferable diagnostic efficiency in evaluating LN metastases of PTC. Conclusion Our combined radiomics model with visual diagnosis could be a potentially effective strategy to preoperatively predict LN metastases in PTC patients before clinical intervention.