B-type natriuretic peptide: powerful predictor of end-stage chronic heart failure in individuals with systolic dysfunction of the systemic right ventricle

Aim To assess whether B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) can serve as a predictor of end-stage chronic heart failure (CHF) in patients with severe systolic dysfunction of the systemic right ventricle (SRV). Methods We performed a retrospective analysis in 28 patients with severe systolic dysfunction of the SRV (ejection fraction 23 +/- 6%) who were evaluated as heart transplant (HTx) candidates between May 2007 and October 2014. The primary endpoints of the study (end-stage CHF) were progressive CHF, urgent HTx, and ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation. Plasma BNP levels were measured using a chemiluminescent immunoassay. Results During median follow-up of 29 months (inter-quartile range, 9-50), 3 patients died of progressive CHF, 5 patients required an urgent HTx, and 6 patients underwent VAD implantation. BNP was a strong predictor of end-stage CHF (hazard ratio per 100 ng/L: 1.079, 95% confidence interval, 1.042-1.117, P<0.001). The following variables with corresponding areas under the curve (AUC) were identified as the most significant predictors of end-stage CHF: BNP (AUC 1.00), New York Heart Association functional class class III or IV (AUC 0.98), decompensated CHF in the last year (AUC 0.96), and systolic dysfunction of the subpulmonal ventricle (AUC 0.96). Conclusion BNP is a powerful predictor of end-stage CHF in individuals with systolic dysfunction of the SRV.