Validation of the representativeness of wind speed time series obtained from reanalysis data for Brazilian territory

被引:16
作者
Ferreira, Saulo Custodio de Aquino [1 ]
Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino [1 ]
Macaira, Paula Medina [1 ]
机构
[1] Pontifical Catholic Univ Rio De Janeiro PUC Rio, Ind Engn Dept, Rua Marques Sao Vicente 225, BR-22451900 Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
关键词
MERRA-2; Reanalysis dataset; Wind speed; Bias correction; POWER PRODUCTION; GENERATION; SIMULATION; MERRA-2; FUTURE; ERA5;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2022.124746
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
摘要
In recent years, consideration of reanalysis data has gained space and importance globally as a promising alternative for climate studies that suffer from an absence or scarcity of data. Wind speed time series can be obtained from these bases for various purposes, such as inferring the potential of sites for wind power generation. These projections can be useful to analyze the feasibility of building new wind farms and the formation of historical series of wind power generation to enable better planning for existing facilities. Therefore, reliable wind speed time series is essential to obtain accurate projections. The reanalysis databases are characterized for having extended historical series. On the other hand, one of their drawbacks is the arrangement of data in a grid with low spatial resolution, so not cover all points on the Earth's surface. This study aims to verify whether the wind speed time series of the MERRA-2 dataset can represent the values at points in Brazilian territory. For this purpose, we examine the use of strategies for interpolation, extrapolation, and bias correction to overcome these limits and obtain time series that better approximate the most probable values, as suggested in the specialized literature. The results are compared with historic series recorded in Brazil to evaluate the method's applicability and indicate whether the data extracted from MERRA-2, after treatment, provide a relevant representation. This study contributes to the literature by (i) measuring the quality of MERRA-2 data to represent high spatial resolution locations in Brazil, (ii) evaluating the impacts of the natural variability of these wind speed series on the results, (iii) describing new bias correction approaches, (iv) verifying the impact of the temporal and spatial scales utilized on the results, and (v) assessing the results by comparing wind speeds. (c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 35 条
[1]  
ANEEL-SIGA, 2022, SIST INF GER ANEEL
[2]   Temporally explicit and spatially resolved global offshore wind energy potentials [J].
Bosch, Jonathan ;
Staffell, Iain ;
Hawkes, Adam D. .
ENERGY, 2018, 163 :766-781
[3]  
Brune S, 2021, ADV SCI RES, V18, P115, DOI [10.5194/asr-18-115-2021, DOI 10.5194/asr-18-115-2021]
[4]   Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: A 33 year case study in Great Britain [J].
Cannon, D. J. ;
Brayshaw, D. J. ;
Methven, J. ;
Coker, P. J. ;
Lenaghan, D. .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2015, 75 :767-778
[5]   A 34-year simulation of wind generation potential for Ireland and the impact of large-scale atmospheric pressure patterns [J].
Cradden, Lucy C. ;
McDermott, Frank ;
Zubiate, Laura ;
Sweeney, Conor ;
O'Malley, Mark .
RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2017, 106 :165-176
[6]   The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) [J].
Gelaro, Ronald ;
McCarty, Will ;
Suarez, Max J. ;
Todling, Ricardo ;
Molod, Andrea ;
Takacs, Lawrence ;
Randles, Cynthia A. ;
Darmenov, Anton ;
Bosilovich, Michael G. ;
Reichle, Rolf ;
Wargan, Krzysztof ;
Coy, Lawrence ;
Cullather, Richard ;
Draper, Clara ;
Akella, Santha ;
Buchard, Virginie ;
Conaty, Austin ;
da Silva, Arlindo M. ;
Gu, Wei ;
Kim, Gi-Kong ;
Koster, Randal ;
Lucchesi, Robert ;
Merkova, Dagmar ;
Nielsen, Jon Eric ;
Partyka, Gary ;
Pawson, Steven ;
Putman, William ;
Rienecker, Michele ;
Schubert, Siegfried D. ;
Sienkiewicz, Meta ;
Zhao, Bin .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (14) :5419-5454
[7]  
GES DISC, 2021, GODD EARTH SCI DAT I
[8]   Simulating European wind power generation applying statistical downscaling to reanalysis data [J].
Gonzalez-Aparicio, I. ;
Monforti, F. ;
Volker, P. ;
Zucker, A. ;
Careri, F. ;
Huld, T. ;
Badger, J. .
APPLIED ENERGY, 2017, 199 :155-168
[9]   Towards global validation of wind power simulations: A multi-country assessment of wind power simulation from MERRA-2 and ERA-5 reanalyses bias-corrected with the global wind atlas [J].
Gruber, Katharina ;
Regner, Peter ;
Wehrle, Sebastian ;
Zeyringer, Marianne ;
Schmidt, Johannes .
ENERGY, 2022, 238
[10]   Assessing the Global Wind Atlas and local measurements for bias correction of wind power generation simulated from MERRA-2 in Brazil [J].
Gruber, Katharina ;
Kloeckl, Claude ;
Regner, Peter ;
Baumgartner, Johann ;
Schmidt, Johannes .
ENERGY, 2019, 189