PM2.5-related health and economic loss assessment for 338 Chinese cities

被引:237
作者
Maji, Kamal Jyoti [1 ]
Ye, Wei-Feng [2 ]
Arora, Mohit [3 ]
Nagendra, S. M. Shiva [4 ]
机构
[1] Indian Inst Technol, CESE, Bombay 400076, Maharashtra, India
[2] Renmin Univ China, Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
[3] Singapore Univ Technol & Design, Engn Prodt Dev Pillar, 8 Somapah Rd, Singapore 487372, Singapore
[4] Indian Inst Technol Madras, Dept Civil Engn, Madras 600036, Tamil Nadu, India
关键词
China; Spatial distributions of PM2.5; Long-term mortality; Morbidity; Economic loss; PARTICULATE AIR-POLLUTION; AMBIENT PM2.5; PREMATURE MORTALITY; GLOBAL BURDEN; PUBLIC-HEALTH; CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE; MATTER CONCENTRATIONS; FINE PARTICLES; EXPOSURE; IMPACTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.envint.2018.09.024
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China is in a critical stage of ambient air quality management after global attention on pollution in its cities. Industrial development and urbanization have led to alarming levels of air pollution with serious health hazards in densely populated cities. The quantification of cause-specific PM2.5-related health impacts and corresponding economic loss estimation is crucial for control policies on ambient PM2.5 levels. Based on ground-level direct measurements of PM2.5 concentrations in 338 Chinese cities for the year 2016, this study estimates cause-specific mortality using integrated exposure-response (IER) model, non-linear power law (NLP) model and log-linear (LL) model followed by morbidity assessment using log-linear model. The willingness to pay (WTP) and cost of illness (COI) methods have been used for PM2.5-attributed economic loss assessment. In 2016 in China, the annual PM2.5 concentration ranged between 10 and 157 mu g/m(3) and 78.79% of the total population was exposed to > 35 mu g/m(3) PM2.5 concentration. Subsequently, the national PM2.5-attributable mortality was 0.964 (95% CI: 0.447, 1.355) million (LL: 1.258 million and NPL: 0.770 million), about 9.98% of total reported deaths in China. Additionally, the total respiratory disease and cardiovascular disease-specific hospital admission morbidity were 0.605 million and 0.364 million. Estimated chronic bronchitis, asthma and emergency hospital admission morbidity were 0.986, 1.0 and 0.117 million respectively. Simultaneously, the PM2.5 exposure caused the economic loss of 101.39 billion US$, which is 0.91% of the national GDP in 2016. This study, for the first time, highlights the discrepancies associated with the three commonly used methodologies applied for cause-specific mortality assessment. Mortality and morbidity results of this study would provide a measurable assessment of 338 cities to the provincial and national policymakers of China for intensifying their efforts on air quality improvement
引用
收藏
页码:392 / 403
页数:12
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