Factors predicting recurrence after resection of pancreatic ductal carcinoma

Objective: Pancreatic ductal carcinoma frequently recurs postoperatively, and we analyzed clinicopathological features of patients treated by surgical resection to find predictors of postoperative recurrence. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed that included 69 patients between 1985 and 2003. Clinicopathologic factors were evaluated for tumor recurrences by univariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Mean survival time and actuarial 5-year disease-specific survival were significantly lower in cases of hepatic metastasis (13 months, 0%) and in cases of peritoneal carcinomatosis (15 months, 6.8%) than in cases of local retroperitoneal recurrence (30 months, 21%). Univariate and logistic regression analyses showed undifferentiated adenocarcinoma to be independently associated with hepatic metastasis (odds ratio, 7.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-37.0) and invasion of the portal vein to be independently associated with peritoneal carcinomatosis (odds ratio, 4.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-12.8). Multivariate analysis showed undifferentiated adenocarcinoma, invasion of the anterior capsule, and invasion of the portal vein to be independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: Undifferentiated adenocarcinoma and invasion of the portal vein are predictors of poor outcome and are related to hepatic metastasis and peritoneal carcinomatosis, respectively. Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy, including intra-arterial chemotherapy, should be selected according to prediction of the patterns of recurrence.