Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Method Based on Mode Decomposition and Feature Extraction

被引:0
作者
Li, Chuang [1 ]
Kong, Xiangyu [1 ]
Wang, Xingguo [2 ]
Zheng, Feng [3 ]
Chen, Zhengguang [2 ]
Zhou, Zexin [2 ]
机构
[1] Tianjin Univ, Sch Elect Automat & Informat Engn, Tianjin, Peoples R China
[2] China Elect Power Res Inst, Grid Safety & Energy Conservat, Beijing, Peoples R China
[3] State Grid Hebei Elect Power Co Ltd, Shijiazhuang Power Supply Branch, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, Peoples R China
来源
2019 22ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ELECTRICAL MACHINES AND SYSTEMS (ICEMS 2019) | 2019年
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
wind power forecasting; ensemble empirical mode decomposition; generalized mutual information; least squares support vector machine; feature extraction; SPEED;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
Accurate and stable wind power forecasting is an inevitable requirement for efficient use of renewable energy. This paper proposes a short-term wind power combination forecasting method based on mode decomposition and feature extraction. The original wind speed time series is decomposed into multiple subsequences by the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD). The generalized mutual information (GMI) is used to extract the optimal input feature set of each subsequence. The prediction values of each subsequence are obtained based on the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model, and then the final prediction results are obtained by combining them. Finally, the paper proves that the proposed method can predict short-term wind power more accurately and stably by setting up the contrast experiment.
引用
收藏
页码:1735 / 1739
页数:5
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