How do plant ecologists use matrix population models?

被引:200
作者
Crone, Elizabeth E. [1 ]
Menges, Eric S. [2 ]
Ellis, Martha M. [1 ]
Bell, Timothy [3 ]
Bierzychudek, Paulette [4 ]
Ehrlen, Johan [5 ]
Kaye, Thomas N. [6 ]
Knight, Tiffany M. [7 ]
Lesica, Peter [8 ]
Morris, William F. [9 ]
Oostermeijer, Gerard [10 ]
Quintana-Ascencio, Pedro F. [11 ]
Stanley, Amanda [6 ]
Ticktin, Tamara [12 ]
Valverde, Teresa [13 ]
Williams, Jennifer L. [14 ]
机构
[1] Univ Montana, Coll Forestry & Conservat, Wildlife Biol Program, Missoula, MT 59812 USA
[2] Archbold Biol Stn, Lake Placid, FL 33862 USA
[3] Chicago State Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Chicago, IL 60628 USA
[4] Lewis & Clark Coll, Dept Biol, Portland, OR 97219 USA
[5] Stockholm Univ, Dept Bot, SE-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
[6] Inst Appl Ecol, Corvallis, OR 97339 USA
[7] Washington Univ, Dept Biol, St Louis, MO 63130 USA
[8] Univ Montana, Div Biol Sci, Missoula, MT 59812 USA
[9] Duke Univ, Dept Biol, Durham, NC 27708 USA
[10] Univ Amsterdam, Inst Biodivers & Ecosyst Dynam, NL-1090 GB Amsterdam, Netherlands
[11] Univ Cent Florida, Dept Biol, Orlando, FL 32816 USA
[12] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Bot, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[13] Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Fac Ciencias, Dept Ecol & Recursos Nat, Mexico City 04510, DF, Mexico
[14] Natl Ctr Ecol Anal & Synth, Santa Barbara, CA 93101 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Conservation; ecological forecasting; extinction risk; harvest; matrix projection models; plant population dynamics; population growth rate; population viability analysis; risk assessment; sensitivity analysis; VIABILITY ANALYSIS; EXTINCTION RISK; CONSERVATION; MEANINGFUL; BIOLOGY;
D O I
10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01540.x
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
P>Matrix projection models are among the most widely used tools in plant ecology. However, the way in which plant ecologists use and interpret these models differs from the way in which they are presented in the broader academic literature. In contrast to calls from earlier reviews, most studies of plant populations are based on < 5 matrices and present simple metrics such as deterministic population growth rates. However, plant ecologists also cautioned against literal interpretation of model predictions. Although academic studies have emphasized testing quantitative model predictions, such forecasts are not the way in which plant ecologists find matrix models to be most useful. Improving forecasting ability would necessitate increased model complexity and longer studies. Therefore, in addition to longer term studies with better links to environmental drivers, priorities for research include critically evaluating relative/comparative uses of matrix models and asking how we can use many short-term studies to understand long-term population dynamics.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 8
页数:8
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