Managing China's coal power plants to address multiple environmental objectives

被引:114
作者
Peng, Wei [1 ,2 ,11 ,12 ]
Wagner, Fabian [1 ,3 ,4 ]
Ramana, M., V [1 ,5 ]
Zhai, Haibo [6 ]
Sma, Mitchell J. [3 ,6 ,7 ]
Dalin, Carole [8 ]
Zhang, Xin [9 ]
Mauzerall, Denise L. [1 ,10 ]
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Harvard Univ, JF Kennedy Sch Govt, Belfer Ctr Sci & Int Affairs, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Princeton Univ, Andlinger Ctr Energy & Environm, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[4] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria
[5] Univ British Columbia, Sch Publ Policy & Global Affairs, Liu Inst Global Issues, Vancouver, BC, Canada
[6] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Engn & Publ Policy, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
[7] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
[8] UCL, Inst Sustainable Resources, London, England
[9] Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Appalachian Lab, Frostburg, MD USA
[10] Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[11] Penn State Univ, Sch Int Affairs, State Coll, PA 16801 USA
[12] Penn State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, State Coll, PA 16801 USA
来源
NATURE SUSTAINABILITY | 2018年 / 1卷 / 11期
基金
英国自然环境研究理事会;
关键词
AIR-QUALITY; WATER-RESOURCES; CLIMATE; CARBON; VULNERABILITY; MITIGATION; MULTIMODEL; EMISSIONS; POLLUTION; BENEFITS;
D O I
10.1038/s41893-018-0174-1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China needs to manage its coal-dominated power system to curb carbon emissions, as well as to address local environmental priorities such as air pollution and water stress. Here we examine three province-level scenarios for 2030 that represent various electricity demand and low-carbon infrastructure development pathways. For each scenario, we optimize coal power generation strategies to minimize the sum of national total coal power generation cost, inter-regional transmission cost and air pollution and water costs. We consider existing environmental regulations on coal power plants, as well as varying prices for air pollutant emissions and water to monetize the environmental costs. Comparing 2030 to 2015, we find lower CO2 emissions only in the scenarios with substantial renewable generation or low projected electricity demand. Meanwhile, in all three 2030 scenarios, we observe lower air pollution and water impacts than were recorded in 2015 when current regulations and prices for air pollutant emissions and water are imposed on coal power plants. Increasing the price of air pollutant emissions or water alone can lead to a tradeoff between these two objectives, mainly driven by differences between air pollution-oriented and water-oriented transmission system designs that influence where coal power plants will be built and retired.
引用
收藏
页码:693 / 701
页数:9
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