Updated 10-year outcomes of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation as first-line therapy for single hepatocellular carcinoma < 3 cm: emphasis on association of local tumor progression and overall survival

Objectives The purpose of this study was to evaluate the 10-year overall survival and local tumor progression (LTP) of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for single nodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) < 3 cm using a large longitudinal hospital registry and clinical factors associated with overall survival and LTP. Methods A total of 467 newly diagnosed patients with single nodular HCC < 3 cm who underwent RFA as first-line therapy between January 2008 to December 2016 were analyzed. Overall survival and LTP were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression and competing risks Cox regression analysis were performed to identify prognostic factors for overall survival and LTP, respectively. Results The 5- and 10-year overall survival rates after RFA were 83.7% and 74.2%, respectively. LTP (hazard ratio (HR), 2.03; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-3.47) was one of the important factors for overall survival after RFA. The 5- and 10-year LTP rates after RFA were 20.4% and 25.1%, respectively. Periportal location (subdistribution HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.25-4.21), subphrenic location (2.25, 1.34-3.86), size >= 1.5-< 2.0 cm (1.88, 1.05-3.39), and size >= 2.0 cm (2.10, 1.14-3.86) were independent factors for LTP. Conclusion Ten-year therapeutic outcomes of percutaneous RFA as first-line therapy were excellent for single HCC < 3 cm. LTP was an important prognostic factor for overall survival after RFA. Periportal and subphrenic location of HCCs and tumor size were predictors for the development of LTP after RFA.