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A Tailor-Made Test of Intransitive Choice
被引:13
作者:
Baillon, Aurelien
[1
]
Bleichrodt, Han
[1
]
Cillo, Alessandra
[2
,3
]
机构:
[1] Erasmus Sch Econ, NL-3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands
[2] Bocconi Univ, I-20136 Milan, Italy
[3] IGIER, I-20136 Milan, Italy
关键词:
PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTION;
PARAMETER-FREE ELICITATION;
PROSPECT-THEORY;
DECISION-MAKING;
REGRET THEORY;
SIMILARITY JUDGMENTS;
TASK COMPLEXITY;
RATIONAL CHOICE;
TRADE-OFFS;
UNCERTAINTY;
D O I:
10.1287/opre.2014.1329
中图分类号:
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号:
12 ;
1201 ;
1202 ;
120202 ;
摘要:
This paper reports a new test of intransitive choice using individual measurements of regret-and similarity-based intransitive models of choice under uncertainty. Our test is tailor-made and uses subject-specific stimuli. Despite these features, we observed only a few intransitivities. A possible explanation for the poor predictive performance of intransitive choice models is that they only allow for interactions between acts. They exclude within-act interactions by retaining the assumption that preferences are separable over states of nature. Prospect theory, which relaxes separability but retains transitivity, predicted choices better. Our data suggest that descriptively realistic models must allow for within-act interactions but may retain transitivity.
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页码:198 / 211
页数:14
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