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Path-dependency and coordination in multi-candidate elections with behavioral voters
被引:6
|作者:
Andonie, Costel
[1
]
Diermeier, Daniel
[2
,3
,4
]
机构:
[1] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Econ & Finance, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Chicago, Harris Sch Publ Policy, 5801 South Ellis Ave, Chicago, IL 60037 USA
[3] Univ Chicago, Off Provost, 5801 South Ellis Ave, Chicago, IL 60037 USA
[4] Canadian Inst Adv Res, Toronto, ON, Canada
关键词:
Behavioral model;
multi-candidate elections;
voter coordination;
ASPIRATIONS;
POLLS;
MODEL;
D O I:
10.1177/0951629817710559
中图分类号:
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号:
0302 ;
030201 ;
摘要:
We consider a behavioral model of voting in multi-candidate elections under plurality rule. In the case of a positive impression of the campaign leader, voters increase their propensity to vote for that candidate, while in the case of a negative impression voters decrease their propensity. The formation of positive or negative impressions depends on an endogenous aspiration level. We show that in multi-candidate elections, in any stationary distribution, the winner receives a share of 50% of votes. Our results suggest that achieving coordination is path-dependent': whether voters manage to coordinate on the majority-preferred candidate critically depends on the initial state. We then identify conditions that make the election of the majority-preferred candidate more likely. However, even if the majority candidate is elected for sure, voting behavior is only partially coordinated.
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页码:520 / 545
页数:26
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