Predictive Probability of the Global Alignment and Proportion Score for the Development of Mechanical Failure Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery in Asian Patients

被引:22
作者
Yagi, Mitsuru [1 ,2 ]
Daimon, Kenshi [3 ]
Hosogane, Naobumi [4 ]
Okada, Eijiro [1 ]
Suzuki, Satoshi [1 ]
Tsuji, Osahiko [1 ]
Nagoshi, Narihito [1 ]
Fujita, Nobuyuji [5 ]
Nakamura, Masaya [1 ]
Matsumoto, Morio [1 ]
Watanabe, Kota [1 ]
机构
[1] Keio Univ, Dept Orthoped Surg, Sch Med, Tokyo, Japan
[2] Natl Hosp Org Murayama Med Ctr, Dept Orthoped Surg, Tokyo, Japan
[3] Ogikubo Hosp, Dept Orthoped Surg, Tokyo, Japan
[4] Kyorin Univ, Dept Orthoped Surg, Sch Med, Tokyo, Japan
[5] Fujita Hlth Univ, Dept Orthoped Surg, Sch Med, Toyoake, Aichi, Japan
关键词
adult spinal deformity; corrective spine surgery; global alignment and proportion score; mechanical complication; predictive model; risk stratification; scoliosis; PROXIMAL JUNCTIONAL FAILURE; SURGICAL OUTCOMES; RISK-FACTORS; CLASSIFICATION; COMPLICATIONS; KYPHOSIS; FRAILTY; IMPACT;
D O I
10.1097/BRS.0000000000003738
中图分类号
R74 [神经病学与精神病学];
学科分类号
摘要
Study Design. This is a multicenter retrospective review of 257 surgically treated consecutive ASD patients who had a minimum of five fused segments, completed a 2-year follow-up (53 +/- 19 yrs, females: 236 [92%]). Objective. This study aimed to validate the predictive probability of the GAP score in an Asian ASD patient cohort. Summary of Background Data. The GAP score is a recently established risk stratification model for MF following ASD surgery. However, the predictive ability of the GAP score is not well studied. This study aimed to validate the predictive probability of the GAP score in an Asian ASD patient cohort. Methods. Comparisons of the immediate postoperative GAP scores between MF the and MF-free groups were performed. We evaluated the discriminative ability of the GAP score based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The Cuzick test was performed to determine whether there is a trend between the GAP score and the incidence of MF or revision surgery. Univariate logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the associations between the GAP score and the incidence of MF or revision surgery. Results. No difference was observed in the GAP score between the MF and MF-free groups (MF vs. MF-free; GAP: 5.9 +/- 3.3 vs. 5.2 +/- 2.7, P = 0.07). The Cuzick analysis showed no trend between the GAP score and the risk for MF or revision surgery. Likewise, the MF rate was not correlated with the GAP score, as shown by the ROC curve (AUC of 0.56 [95% CI 0.48-0.63], P = 0.124). Univariate logistic regression confirmed no associations between the GAP score and the incidence of MF or revision surgery (MF; moderately disproportioned [MD]: OR: 0.6 [95% CI: 0.3-1.2], P = 0.17, severely disproportioned [SD]: OR: 1.2 [95% CI: 0.6-2.3], P = 0.69, revision surgery; MD: OR: 0.8 [95% CI: 0.2-2.8], P = 0.71, SD: OR: 1.2 [95% CI: 0.9-8.7], P = 0.08). Conclusion. In this multicenter study, in an Asian ASD patient cohort, the GAP score was not associated with the incidence of MF or revision surgery. Additional studies on the predictive ability of the GAP score in different patient cohorts are warranted.
引用
收藏
页码:E80 / E86
页数:7
相关论文
共 27 条
[1]  
Abbott D., 2014, Applied Predictive Analytics: Principles and Techniques for the Professional Data Analyst, V1st ed.
[2]   Understanding diagnostic tests 3: receiver operating characteristic curves [J].
Akobeng, Anthony K. .
ACTA PAEDIATRICA, 2007, 96 (05) :644-647
[3]   Ability of the Global Alignment and Proportion Score to Predict Mechanical Failure Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery-Validation in 149 Patients With Two-Year Follow-up [J].
Bari, Tanvir Johanning ;
Ohrt-Nissen, Soren ;
Hansen, Lars Valentin ;
Dahl, Benny ;
Gehrchen, Martin .
SPINE DEFORMITY, 2019, 7 (02) :331-337
[4]   Risk factors for rod fracture after posterior correction of adult spinal deformity with osteotomy: a retrospective case-series [J].
Barton, Cameron ;
Noshchenko, Andriy ;
Patel, Vikas ;
Cain, Christopher ;
Kleck, Christopher ;
Burger, Evalina .
SCOLIOSIS AND SPINAL DISORDERS, 2015, 10
[5]   Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Area Under the Curve (AUC): A Diagnostic Measure for Evaluating the Accuracy of Predictors of Education Outcomes [J].
Bowers, Alex J. ;
Zhou, Xiaoliang .
JOURNAL OF EDUCATION FOR STUDENTS PLACED AT RISK, 2019, 24 (01) :20-46
[6]   A NEW METHOD OF CLASSIFYING PROGNOSTIC CO-MORBIDITY IN LONGITUDINAL-STUDIES - DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION [J].
CHARLSON, ME ;
POMPEI, P ;
ALES, KL ;
MACKENZIE, CR .
JOURNAL OF CHRONIC DISEASES, 1987, 40 (05) :373-383
[7]   Adult spinal deformity [J].
Diebo, Bassel G. ;
Shah, Neil, V ;
Boachie-Adjei, Oheneba ;
Zhu, Feng ;
Rothenfluh, Dominique A. ;
Paulino, Carl B. ;
Schwab, Frank J. ;
Lafage, Virgirlie .
LANCET, 2019, 394 (10193) :160-172
[8]   Distal junctional kyphosis in patients with Scheuermann's disease: a retrospective radiographic analysis [J].
Ghasemi, Amir ;
Stubig, Timo ;
Nasto, Luigi A. ;
Ahmed, Malik ;
Mehdian, Hossein .
EUROPEAN SPINE JOURNAL, 2017, 26 (03) :913-920
[9]   Radiographic Predictors for Mechanical Failure After Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery [J].
Hallager, Dennis W. ;
Karstensen, Sven ;
Bukhari, Naeem ;
Gehrchen, Martin ;
Dahl, Benny .
SPINE, 2017, 42 (14) :E855-E863
[10]   Identification of Decision Criteria for Revision Surgery Among Patients With Proximal Junctional Failure After Surgical Treatment of Spinal Deformity [J].
Hart, Robert ;
McCarthy, Ian ;
O'Brien, Michael ;
Bess, Shay ;
Line, Brett ;
Adjei, Oheneba Boachie ;
Burton, Doug ;
Gupta, Munish ;
Ames, Christopher ;
Deviren, Vedat ;
Kebaish, Khaled ;
Shaffrey, Christopher ;
Wood, Kirkham ;
Hostin, Richard .
SPINE, 2013, 38 (19) :E1223-E1227