Prediction of survival in patients with advanced, refractory colorectal cancer in treatment with trifluridine/tipiracil: real-world vs clinical trial data

被引:11
作者
Fernandez Montes, Ana [1 ]
Carmona-Bayonas, Alberto [2 ]
Jimenez-Fonseca, Paula [3 ]
Vazquez Rivera, Francisca [4 ]
Martinez Lago, Nieves [5 ]
Covela Rua, Marta [6 ]
Cousillas Castineiras, Antia [7 ]
Gonzalez Villarroel, Paula [8 ]
De la Camara Gomez, Juan [9 ]
Carlos Mendez Mendez, Jose [10 ]
Carriles Fernandez, Carmen [11 ]
Sanchez Canovas, Manuel [12 ]
Garcia Garcia, Teresa [13 ]
机构
[1] Complexo Hosp Univ Ourense, Med Oncol Dept, Orense, Spain
[2] Hosp Univ Morales Meseguer, Dept Hematol & Med Oncol, UMU, IMIB, Murcia, Spain
[3] Hosp Univ Cent Asturias, Dept Med Oncol, IPSA, Oviedo, Spain
[4] Univ Santiago, Med Oncol Dept, Hosp Clin, Santiago, Spain
[5] Complexo Hosp Univ A Coruna, Med Oncol Dept, La Coruna, Spain
[6] Hosp Univ Lucus Augusti, Med Oncol Dept, Lugo, Spain
[7] Hosp Prov Pontevedra, Med Oncol Dept, Pontevedra, Spain
[8] Hosp Univ Alvaro Cunqueiro, Med Oncol Dept, Vigo, Spain
[9] Hosp Univ Arquitecto Marcide, Med Oncol Dept, Ferrol, Spain
[10] Ctr Oncol Galicia, Med Oncol Dept, La Coruna, Spain
[11] Hosp Univ Cent Asturias, Dept Pharm, IPSA, Oviedo, Spain
[12] Hosp Univ Morales Meseguer, Dept Hematol & Med Oncol, Murcia, Spain
[13] Hosp Univ Santa Lucia, Dept Med Oncol, Cartagena, Spain
关键词
TAS-102; CHEMOTHERAPY;
D O I
10.1038/s41598-021-93732-5
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Trifluridine/tipiracil increases overall survival (OS) in patients with refractory, metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). A post hoc exploratory analysis of the RECOURSE randomized clinical trial (RCT) established two categories, a good prognosis corresponding to subjects having a low tumor burden and indolent disease. Other models in refractory mCRC are the FAS-CORRECT and Colon Life nomogram. The main objective was to externally validate the prognostic factors of the RECOURSE and FAS-CORRECT trials, and the Colon Life nomogram in a multicenter, real-world series of mCRC treated in 3rd and successive lines with trifluridine/tipiracil. The secondary aim was to develop an OS predictive model, TAS-RECOSMO. Between 2016 and 2019, 244 patients were recruited. Median OS was 8.15 vs 8.12 months for the poor (85% of the subjects) and good (15%) prognosis groups from the RESOURCE trial, respectively, log-rank p=0.9. The most common grade 3-4 toxicities were neutropenia (17%), asthenia (6%), and anemia (5%). The AFT lognormal model TAS-RECOSMO included six variables: ECOG-PS, KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutation status, time between diagnosis of metastasis and beginning of trifluridine/tipiracil, NLR, CEA, and alkaline phosphatase. The model's bootstrapped bias-corrected c-index was 0.682 (95% CI, 0.636-0.722). The factors from the Colon Life model, FAS-CORRECT, and RECOURSE displayed a c-index of 0.690, 0.630, and 0.507, respectively. TAS-RECOSMO, FAS-CORRECT, and the Colon Life nomogram appear to predict OS in patients with refractory mCCR who begin trifluridine/tipiracil treatment in the real world. The prognostic groups of the RECOURCE RCT were unable to capture the situation of real-world subjects treated with trifluridine/tipiracil in this series.
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页数:10
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