A comparison of local and aggregated climate model outputs with observed data

被引：85

作者：

Anagnostopoulos, G. G. ^{[1
]}

Koutsoyiannis, D. ^{[1
]}

Christofides, A. ^{[1
]}

Efstratiadis, A. ^{[1
]}

Mamassis, N. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Dept Water Resources, Fac Civil Engn, GR-15780 Zografos, Greece

来源：

HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL | 2010年 / 55卷 / 07期

关键词：

climate models; general circulation models; climate change; Hurst-Kolmogorov climate; HESS-OPINIONS; PREDICTIONS; UNCERTAINTY; HYDROLOGY; WATER;

D O I：

10.1080/02626667.2010.513518

中图分类号：

TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];

学科分类号：

081501 ;

摘要：

We compare the output of various climate models to temperature and precipitation observations at 55 points around the globe. We also spatially aggregate model output and observations over the contiguous USA using data from 70 stations, and we perform comparison at several temporal scales, including a climatic (30-year) scale. Besides confirming the findings of a previous assessment study that model projections at point scale are poor, results show that the spatially integrated projections are also poor.

引用

页码：1094 / 1110

页数：17

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